The Trojans and Red Wolves are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The Red Wolves will host the game at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 154.5 points, and Arkansas State is favored by -2.5 to win at home against Troy.


The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -2.5

This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Red Wolves.
  • Not only will Arkansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Trojans Stand a Chance in Jonesboro?

Today, Troy will face Arkansas State in their 28th game of the season. They currently have a 18-9 record. In away games, they have gone 3-7, while at home, they have a 12-2 record. As of now, Troy has a 17-7 ATS record heading into today’s game. In their previous five games, they have gone 4-1 vs. the spread.

Troy comes in with an over/under record of 12-12-0 through 27 games, with their games averaging a combined 148.5 points per game so far. The Trojans have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 147 points per game.

Troy’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 85 points against Louisiana-Monroe. They had an overall field goal percentage of 51.6% and made 8/14 free throws. The top scorer for the Trojans was Christyon Eugene with 21 points, while Myles Rigsby also chipped in with 10 points.

Currently, the Trojans’ defense holds the 111st rank in the nation, allowing 69.4 points per game. Troy’s three-point defense is currently 74th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.0% of their shots vs. Troy.

Will Arkansas State Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Arkansas State is entering their 28th game of the season with an overall record of 13-14. The Red Wolves have a 6-11 record on the road, while they are 8-3 at home. Taking a closer look at Arkansas State’s ATS performance, they enter today’s game with a 17-10-1 ATS record. In their last ten games this season, Arkansas State has an impressive 5-0 record vs. the spread.

Arkansas State’s games have, on average, featured 157.7 points per game leading to an over/under record of 13-14-1. Their average over/under line is currently 153.5 points so far. In the Red Wolves’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 162 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-3.

In their recent game, the Red Wolves’ offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 79.6 points per contest. The top scorer for the Red Wolves was Taryn Todd with 21 points, while Freddy Hicks also added 12 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Red Wolves’ defense holds the 304th rank in the nation, allowing 78.4 points per game. So far, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.1 times per game (484th).