The Maple Leafs and Panthers are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN. The Panthers will host the game at FLA Live Arena in Sunrise, FL. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Panthers are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Maple Leafs.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS FLORIDA PANTHERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5

This game will be played at FLA Live Arena at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, April 16th.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA PANTHERS:

  • Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Maple Leafs to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
  • We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+115)
  • The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Maple Leafs Stand a Chance on the Road?

With a record of 46-24-10, the Maple Leafs are in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the road this season, the Leafs have gone 24-9-6 and have won their last three games away from home. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 6-4 and they are 3-2 over their last five.

As the underdog, the Leafs have gone 7-6-2 in 15 games this season and 39-18-8 when favored. Against Eastern Conference opponents, Toronto has gone 22-26 this season.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 32-48. So far, Toronto has 27 wins by multiple goals and 19 wins by just one goal. In their last ten games, the Leafs have gone 5-5 against the puck line.

As the underdog, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 11-4, including going 4-0 in their last four games when getting at least a goal. In their 65 games as the favorite, Toronto has gone 21-44 against the puck line.

For the season, Toronto’s games have finished with an average of 6.9 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 43-35-2.

Across their last three road contests, Toronto has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 4 goals per game.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 8th position in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 12th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 21st in the NHL.

The leading scorer for Toronto’s offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 69 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 38 assists this season.

The Panthers defense is currently 29th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 27.7 shots per game against Florida. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 3rd with 8 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Florida, goalie Joseph Woll has started 22 games in this season. His current record is 12-10, and his save percentage stands at 0.565%.

Will Florida Come Through as Home Favorites?

As the fourth-place team in the Eastern Conference, the Panthers have a record of 51-24-6. In the Atlantic Division, they are in second place. In their last 10 games, Florida has gone 5-5, but they have won three straight games.

At home this season, the Panthers have a record of 25-13-2, and they have won four straight games in their own building. Against teams from the Eastern Conference, Florida has gone 32-17 this season. As the favorite, the Panthers have a record of 45-19-2 this season.

Florida comes into the game with a puck line record of 40-41 and has gone 4-1 against the puck line in their last five games. So far, the Panthers have 32 wins by multiple goals and have a scoring margin of +.8 goals per game.

As the favorite, Florida’s puck line record is 28-38, and their average scoring margin at home is +.5 goals per game. At home, the Panthers have gone 13-27 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin overall is +.8 goals per game.

The average goal total for Florida’s games is sitting at 5.7. The average over/under line for the season is 6.3. The Panthers come in with an over/under record of 29-49-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.

Offensively, the Panthers come into the game at 3.2 goals per contest placing 13th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 1st position in the league. This year, the Panthers have recorded a 37-19 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 10-4 record.

Florida’s leading goal scorer is Sam Reinhart. So far this season, he has 55 goals, placing him 2nd in the NHL. Reinhart also comes into the game with 37 assists.

Defensively, the Panthers are currently 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.7 shots per game against Florida. They also are 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 8 shutouts.

Goalie Anthony Stolarz gets the start and has made 23 starts this season. His record at this point is 15-7, and his save percentage is 0.522%.