Heading into game three of this AL East matchup, the Orioles (78-48, 37-24 home) will send Kyle Gibson to the mound against the Blue Jays (70-57, 38-30 away) and José Berríos. Check out my pick for today’s Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles game in Baltimore.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Thursday, August 24th.

WHY BET THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES:

  • In their previous ten games, the Orioles are 7-3 vs. the runline.
  • The Orioles are on a five game runline winning streak as the home underdog.
  • The Blue Jays are just 0-2 in José Berríos’ last two starts.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST

This season, the Blue Jays are 70-57, putting them 3rd in the AL East. On the road this season, Toronto has been above .500 team at 38-30. Overall, they have gone 23-14-2 in their 39 series.

José Berríos will take the mound for the Blue Jays with an overall record of 9-8. Through 25 appearances, his ERA is 3.39, K/9 is 8.63, FIP is 3.95 and OBP is .298.

José Berríos’ latest start against the Reds was a success, as he held them scoreless and gave up only one hit in 5 2/3 innings. Despite his impressive performance, the Blue Jays ultimately lost 1-0.

The Blue Jays have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 8 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 3rd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 15th in home runs and 14th in slugging percentage. Overall, Toronto is averaging 4.5 runs per game (15th).

Over the last five games, Brandon Belt has been a major contributor to the Blue Jays’ offense, leading the team with three home runs. He has been a consistent presence in the lineup all season, totaling 14 home runs and a .255 batting average.

WILL THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

So far this season, Baltimore has played in 39 series, going 23-13-3. Their current record of 78-48 is good for first place in the AL East. On the road, the Orioles have gone 41-24 compared to 37-24 at home.

Baltimore starter Kyle Gibson has had an up-and-down season so far, with a 12-7 record and 4.97 ERA. On the road, Gibson’s ERA is 5.01 and 6.09 when pitching at home. His WHIP stands at 1.34 while opponents are batting .270 against him with a slugging percentage of .418.

Kyle Gibson earned the victory in his last start, allowing four earned runs and nine hits over five frames against Oakland. Baltimore emerged victorious with a 9-4 scoreline.

Across their last ten games, the Orioles’ offense is 6th in batting average, leading to an average of 5.3 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 7th ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .743 on 147 (15th).

Over the last five games, Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top hitter, batting .363. For the 2023 season, he has a .248 average and has tallied 61 RBIs.