Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Lumberjacks versus the Mavericks? Tip off is at at 11:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV. The over/under for this Western Athletic conference contest is set at 141.5 points, with UT Arlington being favored by -1.5 at home against Stephen F. Austin.


The Pick: UT Arlington Mavericks -1.5

This game will be played at Orleans Arena at 11:30 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Not only will UT Arlington pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Lumberjacks Win on the Road?

Stephen F. Austin has a record of 17-14 this season, and they are currently riding a three-game winning streak. They are 10-10 in Western Athletic Conference games, and they have gone 7-4 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Lumberjacks are 4-8, and they have lost their last five games away from home. For the season, they have been outscored by an average of 4.0 points per game on the road.

When looking at Stephen F. Austin’s ATS record this season, they have gone 8-21. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-10. Over their last 10 road games, the Lumberjacks have gone just 1-9 vs. the spread.

Stephen F. Austin has an over/under record of 14-15 this season and today’s line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.2). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

The Stephen F. Austin offense is coming off a game in which they scored 60 points vs. Abilene Christian. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.2% while connecting on 8 threes. Latrell Jossell was the leading scorer for the Lumberjacks, putting up 17 points. In addition, Kyle Hayman contributed 13 points.

In terms of defense, Stephen F. Austin is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.5 points per game. The Stephen F. Austin defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 57 points and allowed Abilene Christian to connect on 8 threes.

Will UT Arlington Come Through as Home Favorites?

UT Arlington has been a much better team at home this season, going 10-3 compared to 6-10 on the road. They have won three straight games at home, and their average margin of victory at home is +7.1 points per game.

Over their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have gone 8-2. They have also been the favorite in 16 of their games this season, going 13-3 in those matchups.

As the favorite this season, UT Arlington is 12-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mavericks are 7-3 ATS. At home this year, they have an ATS mark of 9-4 and over their last 10 home games, they are 6-3 vs. the spread.

UT Arlington’s over/under record for the season sits at 17-12 and today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (146). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points and their OU record during that span is 0-3. For the season, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 141.5.

The Mavericks’ offense wrapped up their last game with 71 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 75.6 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Dajuan Gordon, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 12.9, while Shemar Wilson also maintains a PPG average of 11.7 leading up to the game.

On the defensive side, UT Arlington is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UT Arlington’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.4% this season.