At 4:05 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL matchup between the Cardinals and Mets. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Cardinals are 12-14, while the Mets are above .500 at 13-12. St. Louis is looking to win its third straight game.

Adrian Houser is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Sonny Gray for the Cardinals. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Cardinals are the favorite on the money line at -127.

NEW YORK METS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +106

This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:05 ET on Saturday, April 27th.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS METS:

  • We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Cardinals series. St. Louis went into the matchup as +108 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Mets had a chance to tie it in the 9th inning, but Ryan Helsley closed things out for the Cardinals.

Miles Mikolas only went 5 2/3 innings for the Cardinals but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Mets, Jose Butto struggled on the mound, giving up four runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Cardinals were led by Alec Burleson and Willson Contreras, who each had a home run and three RBIs. Tomás Nido hit the Mets’ only home run and drove in two runs.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Mets and are 12-14 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 5.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, and they have yet to win a game vs. another NL Central team this year.

The Cardinals have won two straight games, taking the final game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and winning the first game of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they are 5-7 at home compared to 7-7 on the road. St. Louis has been even as the favorite and the underdog, going 6-6 in each role this year.

When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.5. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9. Overall, their run line record is 15-11, and they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 10-4 against the run line. They are 8-6 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is -0.4.

The St. Louis Cardinals have had a lower-scoring trend of late, with their last two games going under the total. Their combined run average is 7.9, and their over/under record is 9-16. The O/U line for today’s game against the Mets is 7.5, and the average O/U line for their games this season is 8. Overall, 69.2% of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s 7.5, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 is 0-7.

Sonny Gray is on the mound for the Cardinals today, and he will be facing the Mets on the road. Gray has started the season with a win and a loss, but in his last outing, he was able to strike out 12 batters in just 6 1/3 innings of work. He has yet to allow a home run this season.

The Cardinals offense has struggled this season, as they are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .219, which is 18th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .302 is also below average.

Willson Contreras comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak, and he has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last nine games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with a team-high four homers. Nolan Arenado is hitting .286 for the season and leads the team with 12 RBIs.

Mets Records & Stats

With an overall record of 13-12, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, 5.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. New York lost the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals after winning the final game of their series vs. the Giants. So far, they are 2-1 in division games.

At home, the Mets are 6-7 this year while going 7-5 on the road. So far, they have been good as the underdog, going 6-5 this year. New York has dropped three straight games as the underdog with an overall series record of 5-3.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. They are 13-12 against the run line overall, but they are 8-4 against the run line on the road, compared to 5-8 at home. They have failed to cover the run line in three straight games as the favorite.

The Mets’ over/under record for the season is 13-12, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the Mets have played seven games with that line, going 3-4. Overall, 64% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. In their last game, the Mets and Cardinals combined for just six runs, which was under the 7.5 run line.

Adrian Houser is taking the mound for the Mets in their home game against the Cardinals. He has started 3 games this season and has a loss and a no-decision. His last time out, he took the loss against the Dodgers, giving up 8 runs in 4 innings of work.

Over the past 10 games, both Starling Marte and Francisco Lindor have been swinging the bat well for the Mets. Lindor has gone 13/39 in that stretch, including three homers, and Marte has also gone deep twice while going 13/43. For the season, Marte is batting .288 and Lindor is hitting just .208.

Brandon Nimmo has been a nice surprise for the Mets this season, as he is just batting .200, but his 15 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Pete Alonso and Starling Marte are tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece, with Alonso’s seven leading the team.