Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Jaguars versus the Hornets? Tip off is at at 8:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on None. The game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, AL. This Southwestern Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 131 points, and Alabama State is favored to win by -1 at home vs. Southern.

SOUTHERN JAGUARS VS ALABAMA STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Alabama State Hornets -1

This game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome at 8:30 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Alabama State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Southern Stun the Crowd at Dunn-Oliver Acadome?

So far this season, Southern has been much better at home than on the road. At home, the Jaguars are 8-2 compared to 5-10 on the road. As the underdog, they are 3-8 this season, and they are 17-12 overall.

After a 58-44 win over Florida A&M, Southern is 5-5 in their last 10 road games. On the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -11.5 points per game.

As the underdog, Southern has gone just 3-8 against the spread this season. However, their ATS mark has been better on the road, going 5-10. Over their last three road games, the Jaguars have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131 is lower than the average over/under line in Southern’s games this season (144.2) and their last three games have an average scoring total of 116 points. So far, their over/under record for the season is 8-17.

The Southern offense is coming off a game in which they scored 58 points vs. Florida A&M. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.1% while connecting on 7 threes. The top scorer for the Jaguars was Dreshawn Allen with 14 points, while Derrick Tezeno also added 13 to the scoreboard.

The Jaguars’ defense is presently ranked 92nd nationally, allowing an average of 69.0 points per contest. Against Florida A&M, the Jaguars’ defense gave up 44 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Florida A&M only made 5 free-throws.

Pressure Builds for Alabama State as Home Favorites

Alabama State is favored by one point in this game, and they have gone 6-4 when favored this season. They have a 3-4 record at home this season, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 6-4.

Alabama State has lost two games in a row, and they have gone 12-17 overall this season. In their last game, they lost to Alabama A&M by a score of 58-53.

Alabama State has not been a good bet at home this season, going just 1-6 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record is 13-11, but they are just 4-6 vs. the spread as the favorite this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hornets are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Alabama State has an over/under record of 9-15 this season. The average over/under line in their games is 143.9 and their games have finished with an average of 137.3 points. Today’s over/under line is set at 131. So far, 23 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 131. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Compared to their season average of 69 points per game, Alabama State struggled in their previous game. Against Alabama A&M, the Hornets scored 53 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 26.7%. Leading the team in scoring is Antonio TJ Madlock, who is averaging 15.7 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, CJ Hines also maintains a PPG average of 10 heading into game.

The Hornets’ defense is presently ranked 104th nationally, allowing an average of 69.5 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Alabama A&M, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 58 points vs. Alabama State.