The Tigers and Bulldogs are set to face off at 8:30 ET on Bull. The Bulldogs will host the game at Alabama A&M Event Center in Huntsville, AL. Grambling State come into this Southwestern Athletic conference matchup as the -2.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 132.5 points.


The Pick: Alabama A&M Bulldogs +2.5

This game will be played at Alabama A&M Event Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Not only will Alabama A&M pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Tigers?

Grambling State will look to extend its five-game win streak as a 2.5-point favorite on the road against Alabama A&M. The Tigers have gone 16-13 overall and 13-3 in the Southwestern Athletic Conference.

On the road this season, Grambling State has gone 7-8, and its average scoring differential is -9.3 points per game. The Tigers’ last three road games have gone 3-0, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 road contests.

As the favorite, Grambling State has gone 4-5 vs. the spread this year and 14-12 overall. However, their ATS mark is 10-5 on the road and they are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Grambling State’s games this season (136.1). This year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 130 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Grambling State offense tallied 69 points in a matchup against Bethune-Cookman. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.5%, and they made 6 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Kintavious Dozier, who holds an average of 13.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tra’Michael Moton is averaging 11.1 points per game this season.

At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 108th, allowing 69.6 points per game. Against Bethune-Cookman in their most recent game, the Grambling State defense gave up a total of 60 points while allowing Bethune-Cookman to hit 41% of their shots.

Does Alabama A&M Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

Alabama A&M has been a much better team at home this season compared to on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.6, while it is -13.9 on the road. Alabama A&M is currently riding a five-game winning streak at home.

So far this season, Alabama A&M has been the underdog in 25 of their 29 games. They have gone 5-20 in those games. Overall, their record is 9-20, including a 8-8 mark in Southwestern Athletic Conference play.

As the underdog, Alabama A&M has gone 11-13-1 against the spread this season and 15-13-1 overall. At home, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 7-3 and have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Alabama A&M is 5-5 vs. the spread.

Alabama A&M’s over/under record this season is 13-16, and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (146.9). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points, which is less than today’s line. Over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 2-8.

Compared to their season average of 68.6 points per game, Alabama A&M struggled in their previous game. Against Alabama State, the Bulldogs scored 58 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.3%. Dailin Smith is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14. Meanwhile, Omari Peek-Green also brings a PPG average of 9 into the game.

Facing Grambling State, Alabama A&M aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.1 points allowed per game (291st). So far, the Alabama A&M defense is giving up an average of 10.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 15.6 times per game (716th).