The Mets (62-73, 34-32 home) will host the Mariners (76-58, 37-29 away) in game two of this interleague series. Starting for the Mets is David Peterson, while the Mariners are giving the ball to Luis Castillo. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between New York Mets and Seattle Mariners.

SEATTLE MARINERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, September 2nd.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • Against the runline, the Mets have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • The Mets are riding a four game streak of covering the runline at home.
  • The Mets are 2-1 in David Peterson’s last five starts.

SEATTLE MARINERS LOOKING TO EXTEND AL WEST LEAD

For the season, the Mariners are 76-58 and 69-65 against the runline. In the AL West, they are in 1st place and have gone 24-12 against division opponents. On the road, Seattle have won eight straight series. The Mariners’ season-long over/under record sits at 67-66.

The Mariners will turn to starter Luis Castillo, who has an impressive 11-7 record. Through 27 appearances, his ERA is a solid 3.01 with a K/9 of 9.91. He has also put together a FIP of 3.64 and an OBP of .254 thus far in the season.

Luis Castillo earned a quality start and the win in his last matchup against the Royals, as the Mariners emerged victorious with a 3-2 scoreline. The right-hander held Kansas City to one hit and no runs over seven innings of work.

During their last five games, Seattle is the 14th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .233 and are averaging 3.4 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Mariners are hitting .244 with an OBP of .325 while averaging 4.8 runs per contest. This figure puts them 11th in the league.

Cal Raleigh has been a force for the Mariners in 2023, leading the team in home runs with 25 and RBIs with 64. His slugging percentage of .468 is also a testament to his power at the plate.

WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Entering game 136 of their season, the Mets are 27.5 games out in the NL East and are in 4th place. So far, their overall series record stands at 15-24-5. New York’s road winning percent is currently 40.6% (28-41) compared to 51.5% at home (34-32).

Today marks David Peterson’s 23rd outing of the season, and he has a 3-7 record to show for it. His ERA is 5.23, and opposing batters have a .355 OBP against him. He has struck out 91 batters and has a WHIP of 1.60. When away from home, his ERA is 7.50 compared to 2.75 when playing in front of the home crowd.

David Peterson was unable to secure the victory in his last start, despite a quality outing. The Mets fell 3-2 to the Angels, with Peterson going seven innings and allowing one earned run.

As of late, New York’s offense is just 23rd in runs per game over their last ten games. Collectively, the Mets have a batting average of .237 (20th) and have gone deep a total of 174 times, putting them 9th in baseball. New York draws an average of 3.3 free passes per game compared to 8 strikeouts.

The Mets have seen DJ Stewart lead the team in home runs over their last ten games, with three long balls. His season-long total stands at nine, and he’s batting .270 overall.