Heading into game three of this National League matchup, it will be Wade Miley on the mound for the Brewers (76-59, 40-27 home), facing off against the Phillies (74-61, 33-35 away) and Ranger Suárez. Find out my prediction for today’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers game in Milwaukee.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at American Family Field at 1:05 ET on Sunday, September 3rd.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:

  • As the road underdog, the Phillies’ runline win streak stands at three games.
  • The Brewers have struggled against the runline when favored of late, failing to cover in two straight times.
  • Over his last five starts, Ranger Suárez has an ERA of just 2.48.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST

Entering with a record of 74-61, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East and are losers of three straight games. So far, they have a road win percentage of 48.5% compared to 61.2% at home. Philadelphia’s overall series record stands at 24-16-3.

Ranger Suárez has made 17 appearances this season, with a 2-6 record and an ERA of 3.88. His WHIP is 1.43 and he has allowed an OBP of .327. In his last two outings, Suárez has given up a home run each time. He currently holds a strikeout to walk ratio of 89/35.

Ranger Suárez’s most recent outing was a quality start against the Twins, where he pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing six hits and two earned runs.

Having gone deep 12 times in their last five games, the Phillies are 1st in that span. At 4.9 runs per game, Philadelphia is 9th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .259 while hitting a total of 177 home runs (10th).

Over the past ten games, Trea Turner has been a powerful force for the Phillies, leading the team with six home runs. His season-long total now stands at an impressive 21 long balls, while his overall batting average is .260.

WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Throughout the season, the Brewers have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 12-7 at American Family Field. Their overall record of 76-59 puts Milwaukee 1st in the NL Central. Against the runline, their overall record is 64-71 and 28-39 at home. This year’s Brewers’ games have an over/under record of 61-70.

Wade Miley has been impressive in his 18 outings this season, boasting a 7-3 record and 3.17 ERA. However, he has surrendered a home run in each of his last four appearances. His WHIP is currently 1.14 and opponents have an OBP of .282 against him. Additionally, Miley’s strikeout to walk ratio stands at 60/27.

Milwaukee is counting on Wade Miley to lead them to another victory, as he helped them defeat the Cubs 6-2 in his last outing. He allowed two earned runs on four hits over six innings of work.

For the season, the Brewers’ offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 5th in the league in scoring, with a total of 59 runs. Overall, Milwaukee’s team batting average is .236, putting them 18th in the MLB.

Christian Yelich has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, boasting a .278 batting average. He currently holds a .442 slugging percentage and a .366 on-base percentage.