In this interleague matchup, the White Sox (61-100, 31-49 home) play host to the Padres (81-80, 37-43 away) at Guaranteed Rate Field. Taking the mound for the White Sox is José Ureña, while the Padres will go with Pedro Avila. Check out my pick for three of this Chicago White Sox and San Diego Padres matchup.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, October 1st.
WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO PADRES:
- The Padres will be taking on a White Sox club that is just 2-3 vs. the runline over their last five games.
- Looking at the Padres’ last five games as the underdog, they are just 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Padres have gone 0-2 in José Ureña’s last two starts.
CAN THE SAN DIEGO PADRES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
Winners of four straight games, the Padres are in 3rd place in the NL West. So far, they have a series win percentage of 49% (23-24-5). San Diego has gone 37-43 on the road this season compared to 44-37 at home.
Pedro Avila is having a successful season thus far, with an ERA of 3.57 across 13 outings. His overall record stands at 2-2 and he will look to extend his streak of not giving up a home-run to three games against the White Sox. Opponents have been unable to get much offense going against him, as evidenced by their .341 SLG% and .227 batting average.
Pedro Avila was unable to secure a win in the Padres’ 5-2 defeat to the Cardinals, despite surrendering only two runs over 2 2/3 innings. The right-hander earned a no-decision in the contest.
This season, the Padres are 12th in the league at 4.7 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .247 (13th) leading to 3.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 4.0 walks per game compared to 8 strikeouts. San Diego’s on-base percentage of .329 has them 5th in the MLB.
The Padres’ Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits, boasting a .285 batting average. His slugging percentage stands at .439 and on-base percentage at .350 entering the game.
WILL THE CHICAGO WHITE SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Entering with a record of 61-100, the White Sox are in 4th place in the AL Central and are losers of two straight games. So far, they have a road win percentage of 37.0% compared to 38.8% at home. Chicago’s overall series record stands at 12-34-6.
José Ureña has had a difficult start to the 2023 season, with an 0-7 record and 7.45 ERA. On the road, he has gone 0-3 with a 7.25 ERA, while at home he is 0-4 with a 9.21 ERA. His WHIP stands at 1.68 and opponents are hitting .284 against him, slugging .617 in the process.
José Ureña’s most recent outing ended in a loss to the Diamondbacks, as he allowed seven runs on four hits over four innings.
In their five most recent games, the White Sox have put together a batting average of only .200, placing them 23rd compared to the rest of the league. At 4 runs per game, Chicago is 26th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .238 and OPS of .677 which has them 27th in baseball.
Eloy Jiménez has been a consistent presence in the lineup this season, boasting a .272 batting average and .441 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, Jiménez has been particularly impressive, leading the White Sox with hits while maintaining an average of .271.