Heading into game three of this NL Central matchup, the Brewers (91-70, 48-32 home) will send Adrian Houser to the mound against the Cubs (83-78, 38-42 away) and Justin Steele. Check out my pick for today’s Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers game in Milwaukee.
CHICAGO CUBS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago Cubs -112
This game will be played at American Family Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, October 1st.
WHY BET THE CHICAGO CUBS:
- The Cubs have put together a 4-1 record in their last five games as the favorite.
- In their four most recent games as the favorite, the Cubs are 4-0.
- Adrian Houser has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 6.67 over his last four starts.
CHICAGO CUBS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
Through 161 games, the Cubs have a record of 83-78. This mark includes going 26-19-5 across their 50 series. Currently, Chicago is 2nd in the NL Central and have a 45-36 record at home while going 38-42 on the road. So far, the Cubs have gone 38-50 against teams with above .500 records.
Justin Steele has had a successful season thus far, boasting an impressive 16-5 record and 3.06 ERA. He has been especially dominant at home, where he is 12-3 with a 3.30 ERA. On the road, his record is 4-2 with an ERA of 3.71. His WHIP stands at 1.17 and opposing batters have managed to hit just .245 against him, with a slugging percentage of .362.
Justin Steele’s most recent outing for the Cubs saw him pitch 5 1/3 innings, yielding three runs on six hits. Unfortunately, his team was unable to secure the victory, falling to the Braves 7-6. As a result of the loss, Steele was credited with a no-decision.
Having gone deep 7 times in their last five games, the Cubs are 6th in that span. At 5.1 runs per game, Chicago is 5th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .255 while hitting a total of 196 home runs (14th).
Nico Hoerner’s availability for the upcoming game is uncertain, as he appears on the injury report. Nevertheless, the shortstop has been a major contributor to the team’s offense this season. He currently leads the squad in hits and boasts an impressive .283 batting average and .383 slugging percentage.
WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Milwaukee’s record of 91-70 has them sitting 1st in the NL Central. At home, the Brewers have won seven straight series. Their overall home record is 48-32. Against the runline, the Brewers are 78-83 along with an over/under record of 72-84.
Adrian Houser will take the mound for the Brewers with a 7-5 record in 22 appearances this season. His ERA is 4.32 and he has allowed opponents to hit .276 against him. Houser has struck out 91 batters and walked 32, giving him a WHIP of 1.41 and a SLG allowed of .415.
Adrian Houser was dealt the loss in the Brewers’ 4-1 defeat to the Cardinals after surrendering four runs on three hits over five innings of work.
The Brewers have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 11 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 9th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 22nd in home runs and 23rd in slugging percentage. Overall, Milwaukee is averaging 4.5 runs per game (16th).
Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ go-to power hitter in 2023, leading the team with 24 home runs and 80 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .407 is a testament to his offensive prowess this season.