Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick 12/04/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-04

The Portland Trail Blazers (8-13) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they take on the Sacramento Kings (8-11). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 218.5 points with Portland opening as a 3-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California.

Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Preview

The Kings fell to the Chicago Bulls in their last matchup, 113-106, despite being 4.5-point favorites. Buddy Hield had a solid game for Sacramento, leading the team in scoring with 26 points on 9-for-21 shooting. Chicago did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (25-29; 86.2 percent). Sacramento, on the other hand, held the Bulls to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.8 (below their season average of 22.6). The two teams combined to score 219 points, which finished over the projected point total of 212.5.

In the Trail Blazers’ previous outing, they were dismantled by the Los Angeles Clippers, 117-97, and were not able to cover as 7-point underdogs. With 18 points and 13 rebounds, Hassan Whiteside played well for Portland. Los Angeles had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 13.4). Portland, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.0 vs. 22.9). Combined, the two clubs scored 214 points, which finished under the projected point total of 227.

Of Sacramento’s 19 games, 13 have finished under the O/U total, while 10 of Portland’s 20 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Kings have a clear advantage. They are 8-11 SU and 12-7 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 8-13 SU and 9-10-1 ATS.

These two teams have already met twice this season, each winning once. Damian Lillard scored a game-high 27 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Trail Blazers lost 107-99, unable to cover as 1.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 206 points, which was 16 points below the projected point total of 222 points. The Kings played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 and a turnover percentage of 12.6. For those same stats, the Trail Blazers put up marks of 16.7 and 15.9, respectively.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers Prediction

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Kings rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 16th (13.5).

Sacramento ranks 22nd in assists per game (22.7) while Portland ranks 28th (20.0).

Portland ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while Sacramento ranks 17th (4.8).

Portland is 26th in the NBA with 43.0 points in the paint per game while Sacramento is 27th with 41.2 points in the paint per game.

Portland is 2-5 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 7-3 ATS on the road.

The Kings have 8 unders and 2 overs in 10 road games.

The Trail Blazers have 4 overs and 3 unders in 7 home games.

When holding opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 4-2 and Portland is 2-0.

The Trail Blazers are 8-11 when they score more than 100 points, while the Kings are 8-5.

The Kings rank 19th in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (13.5).

Portland ranks seventh in rebounds per game (46.8) while Sacramento ranks last (41.7).

The Kings rank eighth in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (15.9).

The Kings average 34.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).

Sacramento ranks 15th in steals per game (7.7) while Portland ranks last (5.9).

Bettings Trends:

Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Trail Blazers have outscored opponents by an average of 3.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has been defeated by an average of 2.0 points.

During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 102.4 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (4.6 below their season average).

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