The Portland Trail Blazers (28-36) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they meet the Sacramento Kings (27-35). Portland opened as a 3-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2020, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Preview
The last time the Kings played, they fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 125-108, despite being 5.5-point favorites. With 23 points on 9-for-17 shooting, De’Aaron Fox was Sacramento’s leading scorer. Philadelphia had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.8 (above their season average of 23.4). Sacramento, meanwhile, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (13-18; 72.2 percent). The two teams combined to score 233 points, which came in over the projected point total of 219.
The Trail Blazers are hoping to rebound after not being able to cover as 7-point underdogs in their 127-117 loss to the Phoenix Suns in their last game. With 23 points and 20 rebounds, Portland’s Hassan Whiteside had a good outing. Phoenix had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.0). Portland, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of making free throws (18-24; 75.0 percent). The two squads combined to put up 244 points, which hit the projected point total.
These two teams have met three times already this season, with the Trail Blazers winning two of them. In the most recent game, Whiteside put up 22 points, 16 rebounds and seven assists and the Trail Blazers beat the Kings 127-116, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to put up 243 points, which was 26.5 points above the projected point total of 216.5 points. Portland’s 0.655 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Sacramento, who had a rate of 0.521.
Of Sacramento’s 62 games, 32 have finished over the projected point total, while 34 of Portland’s 63 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have middling straight up (SU) records (27-35 for Sacramento; 28-36 for Portland), but the Kings have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Sacramento is 32-30 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 26-35-2.
Second-chance opportunities could be hard to find for Portland in this matchup. The Trail Blazers rank 20th in offensive rebounding percentage (22.1 percent), while Sacramento ranks eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.2 percent).
Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
The Kings rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (15.2).
Sacramento ranks 15th in steals per game (7.6) while Portland ranks 28th (6.0).
Sacramento ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Portland ranks 29th (14.1).
Sacramento ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (46.3) while Portland ranks 27th (44.3).
Portland is 12-17-1 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 20-12 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 18 of the Trail Blazers’ 30 home games, while 16 of the Kings’ 32 road games have gone over.
Portland is 4-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-2.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 28-29 and the Kings are 25-28.
The Kings average 34.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.2).
Sacramento ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Portland ranks last (15.5).
The Trail Blazers rank second in blocks per game (6.2) while the Kings rank 24th (4.2).
The Kings rank 22nd in assists per game (23.3) while the Trail Blazers rank last (20.2).
Sacramento ranks eighth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Portland ranks last (47.6).
Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
The Trail Blazers have outscored opponents by an average of 3.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has lost by an average of 1.7 points.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.8 points per game (2.0 above their season average).