The Phillies (89-72, 40-40 away) and Mets (74-86, 42-37 home) square off in three of this NL East series. Jose Butto will take the mound for the Mets against Matt Strahm for the Phillies. See who I like to come out on top in this Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets showdown in New York.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -125
This game will be played at Citi Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, October 1st.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- Coming into the game, the Mets have gone just 1-4 in their last five home games.
- Looking at the Phillies’ last ten games as the underdog, they are just 3-7.
- Matt Strahm has done a good job at avoiding the long-ball of late, having not given up a home-run in each of his past two starts.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES STRUGGLING VS RUNLINE OF LATE
The Phillies will be playing their 161st game of the season today and are 2nd in the NL East on a record of 89-72. So far, Philadelphia has won 60.5% of their games at home compared to 50.0% on the road. Against divisional opponents, the Phillies are 24-27 and have played a total of 51 series, going 29-18-4.
Matt Strahm will take the mound for the Phillies with a 9-5 record. In his 55 appearances, he has posted an ERA of 3.32 and limited opponents to a .215 batting average. The right-hander has struck out 106 batters while walking 21, and his WHIP is 1.03 with a SLG allowed of .380.
The Phillies’ loss to the Pirates last time out was a 3-2 defeat, with Matt Strahm surrendering two earned runs on three hits in a truncated start.
In their five most recent games, the Phillies have put together a batting average of only .200, placing them 23rd compared to the rest of the league. At 4.9 runs per game, Philadelphia is 7th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .255 and OPS of .764 which has them 6th in baseball.
Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ home-run leader in 2023, with 47 long balls and 104 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the season stands at an impressive .475.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Phillies, the Mets have an overall record of 74-86. This mark includes going 24-26 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 4th in the NL East. New York’s overall series record sits at 17-27-7.
Jose Butto of the New York squad has a 1-3 record and an ERA of 3.75 this season. His ERA is slightly higher on the road at 3.80, but he has been struggling more when pitching at home with an ERA of 5.26. The right-hander’s WHIP for the season is 1.36, and opposing batters have only managed to hit .199 against him with a slugging percentage of .277.
Jose Butto was handed the loss in the Mets’ 5-2 defeat to the Phillies after yielding four runs on four hits in his last start.
During their last ten games, New York is the 19th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .234 and are averaging 5.4 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Mets are hitting .239 with an OBP of .318 while averaging 4.5 runs per contest. This figure puts them 18th in the league.
Francisco Lindor has been a key contributor to the New York offense this season, boasting a .255 batting average and .472 slugging percentage. Over the team’s last ten games, Lindor has been especially impressive, leading the squad in hits and batting an impressive .346.