The Brewers (75-59, 39-27 home) will host the Phillies (74-60, 33-34 away) in game two of this National League series. Starting for the Brewers is Colin Rea, while the Phillies are giving the ball to Aaron Nola. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, September 2nd.

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:

  • Against the runline, the Brewers have gone 2-1 in their three games at home.
  • Milwaukee is riding a 9 runline win streak when going into a game as the underdog.
  • Across Colin Rea’s 19 starts, the Brewers have put together a record of 11-8.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST

The Phillies take on the Brewers with the hopes of snapping their two game losing streak. This recent skid has their record sitting at 74-60, putting them 2nd in the NL East. When looking at their overall series numbers, they have gone 24-16-3. At home, they are 41-26 and 33-34.

Philadelphia will hand the ball to Aaron Nola, who is 12-8 on the season. The righty has put together two consecutive starts with fewer than three earned runs allowed and his ERA stands at 4.30, with a FIP of 4.19. Opponents have managed a .411 slugging percentage against him and he has 174 strikeouts so far in 2023.

Aaron Nola earned a quality start and a victory in his last matchup against the Cardinals, as the Phillies emerged victorious with a 3-0 scoreline. The right-hander tossed seven innings of one-hit ball, keeping St. Louis off the scoreboard.

Offensively, Philadelphia is ranked 9th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Phillies averaged 6.2 runs per contest, which is 4th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Philadelphia is 9th in all of baseball, with a total of 174 home runs.

Trea Turner has been a major offensive force for the Phillies over their last five games, hitting five home runs and bringing his season total to 20. His batting average stands at .258.

WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

As the Brewers head into today’s game vs. the Phillies, they have the top spot in the NL Central with an overall record of 75-59. Currently, their home/away splits sit at 39-27 and 36-32, respectively. Through 43 series, they have gone 23-18-2.

The Brewers will turn to Colin Rea for the start, who has a 5-5 record after 20 appearances. His ERA stands at 5.11, with a K/9 of 7.62 and a FIP of 5.07, as well as an OBP of .295.

Colin Rea’s performance against the Pirates was not what he had hoped for, as he surrendered six runs on eight hits in four innings of work, resulting in a 8-4 loss for the Brewers.

For the season, the Brewers’ offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 6th in the league in scoring, with a total of 58 runs. Overall, Milwaukee’s team batting average is .235, putting them 21st in the MLB.

Willy Adames has been a major contributor to the Brewers’ offense this season, leading the team with 22 home runs over their last five games. His batting average is currently .215.