The Philadelphia 76ers (37-25) will attempt to put an end to their nine-game road losing streak when they challenge the Sacramento Kings (27-34), who look to continue their six-game home winning streak. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 221.5 points with Sacramento opening as a 4.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2020, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California.
Philadelphia 76ers at Sacramento Kings Free Preview
In the 76ers’ last matchup, they lost to the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-107. They failed to cover as 10-point underdogs. With 25 points on 10-for-15 shooting, Glenn Robinson III led Philadelphia in scoring. Los Angeles had a better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 13.8). Philadelphia, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (26.7 vs. 25.0). The two teams combined to score 227 points, which finished over the projected point total of 215.
The Kings hope to keep it rolling after covering the 5.5-point spread against the Washington Wizards in their last matchup, 133-126. With 31 points on 12-for-19 shooting, De’Aaron Fox was Sacramento’s leading scorer. The Kings held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 5.6 (below their season average of 22.2) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.635 (above their season average of 0.528). Combined, the two clubs scored 259 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 235.5.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Sacramento currently ranks 22nd in possessions per game (100.9) and Philadelphia is 23rd (100.6).
Of Philadelphia’s 62 games, 32 have finished over the projected point total, while 31 of Sacramento’s 61 games have finished over the O/U total. The 76ers hold the significant advantage straight up (SU) (37-25 vs. 27-34), but the Kings have the better against the spread (ATS) record (32-29 vs. 27-31-4).
These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 188 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 210.5. The 76ers won 97-91, but were unable to cover as 10-point favorites. The 76ers dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.260 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.500. The Kings were 0.042 and 0.458, respectively, for those same stats. Joel Embiid put up a double-double in the victory with 33 points and 16 rebounds.
76ers vs. Kings Betting Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
The 76ers rank ninth in steals per game (8.3) while the Kings rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Sacramento averages 12.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Philadelphia ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.0).
Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Sacramento ranks sixth (4.4).
Philadelphia is 10-21-1 ATS on the road with 16 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
Sacramento is 12-17 ATS at home with 15 overs and 14 unders.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Philadelphia is 14-1 and Sacramento is 10-2.
When scoring over 100 points, the Kings are 25-27 and the 76ers are 33-12.
The Kings rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while the 76ers rank 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.4).
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while Sacramento ranks 16th (34.2).
The 76ers rank 11th in rebounds per game (45.5) while the Kings rank 26th (42.4).
The 76ers are third in the league with 11.7 second chance points allowed per game while the Kings are fourth with 11.8 second chance points allowed per game.
Philadelphia ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while Sacramento ranks 15th (24.5).
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 6.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento has been defeated by an average of 1.9 points.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (6.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.4 points per game (9.2 above their season average).