Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Nittany Lions and Hoosiers. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on BTN, and it’s hosted by the Hoosiers at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN. Get ready to place your bets! Penn State is favored by -1.5 in this Big Ten conference matchup the against Indiana. The over/under for the game is set at 151 points.

PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS VS INDIANA HOOSIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Indiana Hoosiers +1.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE INDIANA HOOSIERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hoosiers.
  • Not only will Indiana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Does Penn State Have a Shot at a Road Win?

After winning their last game against Michigan by a score of 66-57, Penn State comes into this game with a record of 15-16. Their road record on the season is just 2-11, and they have lost four straight games away from home.

So far this season, the Nittany Lions have been favored in 12 games, going 8-4 in those matchups. For the year, they have a scoring differential of -8.4 points per game on the road, compared to +8.8 points per game at home.

As the favorite, Penn State has gone just 5-7 vs. the spread this season and they are 17-14-1 ATS overall. On the road, the Nittany Lions have a 6-6-1 ATS mark and they are 1-1-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in Penn State’s games this season (147.4). So far, 10 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 151. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 140 points.

Most recently, the Penn State offense finished with just 66 points vs. Michigan. For the game, they hit 7/17 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 38.3%. Leading the team in scoring was Zach Hicks with 20 points. Adrian Baldwin Jr also added 17 points for the Nittany Lions.

At present, the Nittany Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 235th, allowing 74.3 points per game. Against Michigan in their most recent game, the Penn State defense gave up a total of 57 points while allowing Michigan to hit 38% of their shots.

Will Indiana Pull Through as the Underdog Home Team?

Indiana enters this game as a slight underdog, as they have gone just 7-10 when they are not favored this season. The Hoosiers have been much better at home, where they have gone 13-6 compared to 5-7 on the road.

Over their last 10 games at home, Indiana has gone 6-4, and they are coming off a one-point win over Michigan State. So far this season, the Hoosiers have gone 18-13 overall, and they have won four straight games.

As the underdog this season, Indiana has a solid ATS record of 10-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hoosiers have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. At home, Indiana is 10-9 vs. the spread this year and over their last 3 games as the underdog, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS.

Indiana’s over/under record this season is 17-14 and the average scoring total in their games is 147.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 151 is higher than the average OU line in their games (145.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points and the over/under record is 1-2.

The Indiana offense is coming off a game where they scored 65 points against Michigan State. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.4% and connected on 6 threes. Leading Indiana in scoring vs. Michigan State was Kel’el Ware with his 28 points. Malik Reneau also added 16 points for the Hoosiers.

Coming into today’s game, the Indiana defense is giving up an average of 74.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Michigan State, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 64 points vs. Indiana.