Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Senators and Lightning. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Lightning at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Lightning are favored by -1.5 vs. the Senators.

OTTAWA SENATORS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, April 11th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

  • With the Lightning being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Lightning.
  • Take the Lightning on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)

Can the Senators Pull the Upset on the Road?

With just 72 points on the season, the Ottawa Senators find themselves in 14th place in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Senators have gone 6-4 and they are 1-4 in their last five games.

On the road this season, Ottawa has gone 14-22-2, and as the underdog, they have gone 18-24-4. Over the course of the year, the Senators have been the underdog in 46 of their 78 games.

On the road this season, the Senators have a puck line record of 18-20, and they have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their last ten road games. Ottawa’s average scoring margin on the road is at -0.4 goals per game.

So far, the Senators have been the underdog in 46 of their games, and their puck line record as the underdog is at 27-19. In their last ten games, Ottawa has an impressive puck line record of 8-2.

On average, Ottawa’s games have finished with 6.6 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.5. In total, the Senators come in with an over/under record of 40-35-3.

Ottawa has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 1 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

On offense, the Senators are averaging 3.1 goals per game which is 15th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 11th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Senators offense is 18th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 18th in the NHL.

Ottawa will be looking for a good game from Brady Tkachuk who leads the team in scoring with 34 goals, ranking 21st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Tkachuk has 34 assists this season.

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 15th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Tampa Bay, goalie Joonas Korpisalo has started 47 games in this season. His current record is 20-25, and his save percentage stands at 0.907%.

Can The Lightning Secure a Home Victory?

At home this season, Tampa Bay has gone 24-10-4, and they have been favored in 47 of their 78 games. In the Eastern Conference, the Lightning are 6th, and in the Atlantic Division, they are 4th. Overall, Tampa Bay has a record of 44-27-7.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3, and they have won three of their last five games. For the season, Tampa Bay has been favored in 30 of their 47 games as the favorite, and they have gone 25-21 against Eastern Conference opponents.

At home this season, the Lightning have an average scoring margin of +.9 goals per game. So far, they have gone 22-16 against the puck line at home, and their overall puck line record is 42-36.

Across their last ten home games, Tampa Bay has gone 5-5 against the puck line, and their puck line record as the favorite is currently 22-25. This season, the team has 33 wins by multiple goals.

This season, Tampa Bay’s games have an average of 6.8 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Lightning come in with an over/under performance of 38-36-4.

In their last three road games, Ottawa has averaged 1 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, putting them in the 5th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. The Lightning went 25-14 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 18-11.

Tampa Bay’s leading scorer is Brayden Point. So far, he has 44 goals which is 7th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 42 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 15th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy gets the start and has made 50 starts this season. His record at this point is 30-18, and his save percentage is 0.876%.