Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24

The Golden Knights and Stars are set to face off at 7:30 ET on TBS. The Stars will host the game at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. The over/under for this Western conference contest is set at 5.5 goals, with the Stars being favored by -1.5 goals at home against the Golden Knights.

VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS VS DALLAS STARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Stars -1.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 7:30 ET on Sunday, May 5th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS STARS:

• Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Stars picking up a 4-3 win.
• Take the Stars on the moneyline
• On the spread, we like Golden Knights (+1.5)

Can the Vegas Offense Score Enough on the Road?

On the road this season, the Golden Knights have gone 18-17-6, and they have dropped three straight away games. In the Western Conference, Vegas is in 8th place and 4th in the Pacific Division. Through 82 games, their record is 45-29-8.

As the underdog, the Golden Knights have gone 14-10-4 this season. Over their last ten games, Vegas has gone 6-4, and they are 2-3 over their last five games. In their last three games, the Golden Knights have gone 1-2.

On the road this year, the Golden Knights have gone 19-22 vs. the puck line, and their overall puck line record is 41-41. In their last ten games, Vegas has gone 7-3 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin for the season is +.3 goals per game.

So far, the Golden Knights have 28 wins by multiple goals and 17 wins by one goal. In their last five road games, Vegas has gone 4-1 vs. the puck line, and their puck line record as the underdog is 21-7.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Vegas is 6.2. The season's average over/under line is currently at 6.1. The Golden Knights come in with an over/under record of 40-42-0.

The Golden Knights are 3-0 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.

For their offensive performance, the Golden Knights come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 13th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 13th in the league. This year, the Golden Knights have recorded a 24-16 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 19-13 record.

Vegas' leading scorer is Jonathan Marchessault. So far, he has 42 goals which is 13th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Marchessault has 27 assists this season.

Defensively, the Stars are currently 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.6 shots per game against Dallas. They also are 21st in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Adin Hill has started 35 games this season. His current record stands at 19-12, and his save percentage is 0.672%.

Will the Stars Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

At home this season, the Stars have gone 26-11-4 and have won two straight games. In the Central Division, Dallas is in first place with a record of 52-21-9. Against other Western Conference teams, the Stars have gone 34-16 on the year.

Over their last ten games, Dallas has gone 6-4 and has won two straight games as the favorite. On the year, the Stars have been favored in 71 of their 82 games and have gone 47-17-7 in those games. Overall, Dallas has 113 points, which is good for first in the Western Conference.

On the season, Dallas has gone 36-46 against the puck line, including a mark of 14-27 at home. So far, the Stars have had 29 wins by multiple goals and have an average scoring margin of +.8 goals per game.

Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone just 2-8 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin at home this year sits at +.8 goals per contest. In their last ten home games, Dallas has gone just 4-6 vs. the puck line.

On average, Dallas' games have finished with 6.5 goals per game. The season's average over/under line stands at 6.2. In total, the Stars come in with an over/under record of 42-39-1.

Vegas has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 3-0.

On the offensive side, the Stars are scoring an 3.6 goals per game this season, ranking 3rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 11th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Stars offense is 11th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 2nd in the NHL.

Dallas will be looking for a good game from Wyatt Johnston who leads the team in scoring with 32 goals, ranking 34th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Johnston has 33 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Stars head into the game ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.6 shots per game against Dallas. So far, they are 21st in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Jake Oettinger has started 53 games this season. His current record stands at 35-14, and his save percentage is 0.888%.