Betting on today’s Senators and Lightning game? Catch the action at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL, as the Lightning hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 7 goals, with the Lightning being favored by -1.5 at home against the Senators.

OTTAWA SENATORS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, February 19th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

  • In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Senators winning this one 4-3.
  • We like the Senators on the moneyline (+137)
  • The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Senators Stand a Chance on the Road?

On the season, the Senators have an overall record of 22-27-2, which puts them in 8th place in the Atlantic Division and 15th in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference opponents, Ottawa has gone 17-14 this season. On the road, the Senators have struggled, going just 7-14-0.

Over their last ten games, Ottawa has gone 6-4, and they come into this game having lost their last two games. When playing as the underdog this season, the Senators have gone 9-16-2, and they have lost their last two games when they have been the favorite.

On the road this season, Ottawa has gone 9-12 vs. the puck line and 4-6 vs. the puck line in their last ten games. So far, the Senators have an average scoring margin of -0.5 goals per game on the road.

Overall, the Senators have gone 23-28 vs. the puck line, including going 14-13 as the underdog. In their last ten games, Ottawa has a puck line record of 6-4.

This season, Ottawa’s games have an average of 7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.6. The Senators come in with an over/under performance of 28-20-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Ottawa has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

For their offensive performance, the Senators come in averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, which is 13th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 16th in the league. This year, the Senators have recorded a 13-17 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 8-10 record.

Ottawa’s leading goal scorer is Brady Tkachuk. So far this season, he has 25 goals, placing him 21st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Tkachuk has 19 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 15th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 13th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Joonas Korpisalo has started 32 games this season. His current record stands at 13-18, and his save percentage is 0.877%.

Will the Lightning Come Through as Home Favorites?

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 18-6-3, and they are 21-9-1 as the favorite. In their last ten games, Tampa Bay is 6-4, and they have won five straight games as the favorite.

Overall, the Lightning are 30-21-5, and they are in sixth place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay is in fourth place, and they have gone 6-9 against divisional opponents this year.

At home this season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 17-10 and an average scoring margin of +.9 goals per game. So far, they have been favored in 31 of their games and have a puck line record of 15-16 when favored.

Overall, the Lightning have 21 wins by multiple goals and have gone 29-27 against the puck line. In their last ten games at home, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 6-4.

The average goal total for Tampa Bay’s games is sitting at 6.8. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 26-26-4.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Ottawa has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

For their offensive performance, the Lightning come in averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, which is 4th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 17th in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 28th in the NHL.

Tampa Bay’s current leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. This season, he has 36 goals, which puts him 3rd in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 58 assists.

The Lightning defense is currently 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 13th with 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 31 games this season. His current record stands at 19-12, and his save percentage is 0.783%.