Planning on watching today’s Lions and Cardinals game? Catch the action at McDermott Convocation Center in San Antonio, TX, as the Cardinals hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Southland conference game currently have Incarnate Word as the -2 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 141.5 points.

TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS VS INCARNATE WORD CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Incarnate Word Cardinals -2

This game will be played at McDermott Convocation Center at 7:30 ET on Monday, February 19th.

WHY BET THE INCARNATE WORD CARDINALS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Cardinals.
  • Not only will Incarnate Word pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Lions Exceed Expectations on the Road?

Despite being 2-11 on the road this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has been the underdog in 16 of their 26 games. They are 3-13 in those games, and they are currently riding a four-game losing streak on the road.

Following an 86-63 loss to Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, the Lions’ record fell to 9-17 on the season. In Southland Conference play, they have gone 3-9, compared to 6-8 in non-conference games.

This season, Texas A&M-Commerce has an ATS record of 9-13, including a road ATS mark of 4-9. As the underdog, the Lions have gone 6-10 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, A&M-Commerce has an ATS record of 4-6.

On the season, the over/under record for Texas A&M-Commerce games is 8-14 and today’s line of 141.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this year (141.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Coming off their recent game, the Texas A&M-Commerce offense tallied 63 points in a matchup against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.6%, and they made 7 threes. Kalen Williams is leading the team in scoring at 14.8 points per contest. Tommie Lewis has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.1 going into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense is giving up an average of 74.4 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense is giving up an average of 9.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (507th).

Is a Home Win Possible for Incarnate Word?

Incarnate Word has been a much better team at home this season, going 3-5 compared to their 3-12 mark on the road. They have lost their last two games away from home by an average of 9.2 points per game.

Overall, the Cardinals are 8-17, including a 3-9 record in Southland Conference play. In their last game, they lost to Northwestern State by a score of 81-61.

Incarnate Word has an ATS record of 9-13-1 this season and they are 4-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cardinals have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread.

Incarnate Word’s over/under record this season sits at 12-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 150.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (148.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

The Incarnate Word offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against Northwestern State. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.7% and connected on 4 threes. Offensively, the Cardinals hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 286th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 216th in terms of percentage and 148th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Incarnate Word defense is giving up an average of 78.0 points per contest. The Incarnate Word defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 81 points and allowed Northwestern State to connect on 4 threes.