Heading into game three of this American League matchup, it will be Zack Greinke on the mound for the Royals (55-106, 32-48 home), facing off against the Yankees (82-79, 40-40 away) and Michael King. Find out my prediction for today’s New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals game in Kansas City.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 3:10 ET on Sunday, October 1st.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK YANKEES:

  • In their last ten games, the Yankees have gone 6-4 vs. the runline.
  • Over their last five games on the road, New York is 3-2 against the runline.
  • Opponents are hitting just .124 against Michael King in his last two starts.

CAN THE NEW YORK YANKEES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?

161 games into the season, the Yankees have a record of 82-79, putting them 4th in the AL East. This mark includes an overall series 23-22-7. At home, they are 42-39 compared to 40-40 on the road.

New York will give the ball to Michael King, who has a 4-7 record in 2023. He’s been on a roll lately, allowing three or fewer earned runs in seven consecutive starts. His ERA is an impressive 2.50, and his FIP stands at 2.76. Opponents have had trouble getting to him, with a slugging percentage of just .315 against him this season. King has also racked up 126 strikeouts so far this year.

In Michael King’s most recent start, the Yankees’ 2-0 victory over the Blue Jays, he did not receive a decision. Nonetheless, he pitched a quality start, surrendering no runs on one hit over six innings.

Over their last five games, the Yankees are ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 3.6 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.2 per contest puts them 22nd in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, New York is 21st, with an OBP currently sitting at .304. The team’s collective batting average is .227 (19th).

Aaron Judge has been a major contributor to the Yankees’ offensive success this season, leading the team in home runs with 37 and RBIs with 75. His slugging percentage of .613 is indicative of his power at the plate.

WILL THE KANSAS CITY ROYALS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Through 161 games, the Royals have a record of 55-106. This mark includes going 11-37-4 across their 52 series. Currently, Kansas City is 5th in the AL Central and have a 32-48 record at home while going 23-58 on the road. So far, the Royals have gone 24-60 against teams with above .500 records.

Zack Greinke has had a difficult season thus far, with an ERA of 5.18 across 29 appearances and a record of 1-15. He will look to extend his streak of not allowing a home-run to four games when he takes the mound against the Yankees. Opponents have been able to hit him for an average of .280 and a slugging percentage of .467.

In Zack Greinke’s latest outing, the Royals fell 6-3 to the Tigers. Greinke went five innings without allowing a run, surrendering just one hit and earning himself a no-decision.

This season, the Royals are 22nd in the league at 4.2 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .250 (15th) leading to 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 2.5 walks per game compared to 8 strikeouts. Kansas City’s on-base percentage of .302 has them 22nd in the MLB.

Salvador Perez has been a consistent offensive force for the Kansas City Royals this season, boasting a .256 batting average and .424 slugging percentage. During the team’s last ten games, Perez has been particularly impressive, leading the Royals in hits with a .333 batting average.