The Marlins (78-73, 43-33 home) will host the Mets (70-80, 31-44 away) in game two of this NL East series. Starting for the Marlins is Braxton Garrett, while the Mets are giving the ball to Joey Lucchesi. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between Miami Marlins and New York Mets.
NEW YORK METS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets +140
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, September 19th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:
- In their last ten games, the Mets have a record of 6-4.
- The Marlins head into the game having lost two straight matchups as the moneyline favorite.
- For the season, the Mets have gone 4-3 with Joey Lucchesi on the mound as the starter.
NEW YORK METS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
Currently, the Mets are 4th in the NL East on an overall record of 70-80. Their season-long runline record is 64-86, which includes going 29-46 vs. the runline on the road. For the season, New York has won less than half of their series away from home (4-15). The Mets’ over/under record this season comes in at 61-80.
Joey Lucchesi will take the mound for the Mets, boasting an impressive 3-0 record. He has made seven appearances this season, with an ERA of 2.83 and a batting average allowed of .237. His opponents have walked 13 times and struck out 24 times, resulting in a WHIP of 1.26 and SLG allowed of .382.
Joey Lucchesi earned his sixth win of the season in his last start against the Diamondbacks, pitching seven strong innings and allowing just one run and five hits. The Mets cruised to a 7-1 victory, giving Lucchesi his fourth quality start of 2023.
For the season, the Mets are 16th in batting average, hitting a combined .239. Over their last five games, they have hit .252 which is 10th in that span. New York’s average of 4.4 runs per game puts them 19th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 197 times and have a team slugging percentage of .407.
Brandon Nimmo has been a consistent presence in the New York lineup this season, boasting a .266 batting average and .453 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, he has been an even bigger contributor, leading the Mets in hits and hitting at a .308 clip.
WILL THE MIAMI MARLINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
151 games into their season, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East on an overall record of 78-73. Against other teams in the NL East, Miami is 24-23 while their overall series win percent sits at 52%. At home, the Marlins are 43-33 and 35-40 on the road.
Braxton Garrett is making his 30th appearance of the 2023 season with a record of 9-6. His ERA stands at 3.67, while opponents are batting .246 against him. On the road, Garrett has been impressive, boasting a 6-2 record and 2.56 ERA. At home, however, he is 3-4 with an ERA of 5.53. Teams have a slugging percentage of .411 against him this season.
The Marlins earned a victory in Braxton Garrett’s last outing, defeating the Brewers 2-0. The lefty pitched six innings, surrendering four hits and no earned runs to add a win to his ledger.
Having gone deep 13 times in their last ten games, the Marlins are 6th in that span. At 4.2 runs per game, Miami is 23rd in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .258 while hitting a total of 157 home runs (16th).
Jorge Soler has been one of the Marlins’ most potent offensive weapons in 2023. His batting average of .241 is complemented by 73 runs batted in and 36 home runs.