Leading up to game two of this NL East battle, the Braves (96-54, 47-26 home) will send Spencer Strider to the mound to take on the Phillies (82-68, 39-37 away) and Cristopher Sánchez. Find out who I like to come out on top in this Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves matchup in Atlanta.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, September 19th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- In their last three games, the Phillies have gone 2-1 vs. the runline.
- The Phillies will be taking on a Braves club that is just 3-7 vs. the runline in their past ten games.
- Spencer Strider has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 1.77 over his last two starts.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST
For the season, the Phillies are 82-68 and 67-83 against the runline. In the NL East, they are in 2nd place and have gone 19-24 against division opponents. On the road, Philadelphia have won two straight series. The Phillies’ season-long over/under record sits at 68-73.
Cristopher Sánchez is off to a mixed start in 2023, with an overall record of 2-4 and an ERA of 3.40. On the road, he has yet to earn a win, but his ERA stands at 1.12 across four appearances. At home, his record is 2-4 and ERA 4.20. His WHIP for the season is 1.05 and opponents are batting .232 against him with a slugging percentage of .420.
Cristopher Sánchez had a tough outing in the Phillies’ 4-1 loss to the Braves, surrendering four earned runs and eight hits over 7 1/3 innings.
The Phillies have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 18 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 2nd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 7th in home runs and 5th in slugging percentage. Overall, Philadelphia is averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th).
The Phillies’ offense has been bolstered by Kyle Schwarber’s performance this season. He currently holds a .197 batting average and has driven in 99 runs, while also hitting 45 home runs.
WILL THE ATLANTA BRAVES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Braves enter today’s game with an overall record of 96-54 which includes going 52-30 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 1st in the NL East. Across their 48 series, Atlanta is 34-11-3 and have records of 49-28 and 47-26 on the road and at home, respectively.
Spencer Strider is having a successful season in 2023, boasting an overall record of 17-5 and an ERA of 3.73. On the road, he has been particularly impressive, going 11-2 with an ERA of 4.06 in 15 appearances. At home, Strider has put together a mark of 6-3 and ERA of 5.53. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.08 with opponents batting .200 against him and slugging .340 overall.
Spencer Strider earned a quality start and the win in his most recent outing, as the Braves defeated the Phillies 4-1. Strider allowed one run and four hits over seven innings of work.
This season, the Braves are 1st in the league at 5.8 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .244 (13th) leading to 3.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.3 walks per game compared to 7 strikeouts. Atlanta’s on-base percentage of .342 has them 1st in the MLB.
The Braves have seen Ozzie Albies lead the way offensively over their last five games, with two home runs. He has been a consistent source of power for the team this season, hitting 31 long balls and boasting a .267 batting average.