Game two of this NL East series sees the Braves (80-44, 42-22 home) and Mets (59-67, 28-39 away) facing off at Truist Park. The starting pitcher for the Braves will be Bryce Elder, while the Mets are turning to Tylor Megill. Find out who I like to win in this Atlanta Braves and New York Mets showdown.

NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, August 22nd.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • As the road favorite, the Mets’ runline win streak currently stands at two games.
  • The Braves have struggled against the runline when favored of late, failing to cover in three straight times.
  • The Mets have gone 1-2 in Bryce Elder’s last five starts.

NEW YORK METS HAVE BEEN GOOD AGAINST THE NL EAST

On a record of 59-67, the Mets come into today’s game 4th in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 31-28 and 28-39 on the road. New York has played in 40 series thus far, and have gone 15-20-5.

Tylor Megill has made 18 appearances this season, boasting a .447 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.70 WHIP. His overall record stands at 7-6 with an ERA of 5.53, along with 69 strikeouts and an average of 7.19 Ks per nine innings. When playing away from home, Megill is 2-4 with an ERA of 8.99; however, he has been more successful at home where his record is 5-2 and his ERA is 3.60.

The Mets were victorious the last time Tylor Megill took the mound, defeating the Pirates 8-3. The right-hander pitched five innings, surrendering five hits and two earned runs, while earning his fourth win of the 2023 season.

Offensively, New York is ranked 15th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Mets averaged 7.4 runs per contest, which is 3rd best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, New York is 8th in all of baseball, with a total of 164 home runs.

Jeff McNeil has been a major contributor to the New York offense this season, boasting a .266 batting average and .355 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, McNeil has been on fire, leading the Mets in hits and hitting an impressive .367.

WILL THE ATLANTA BRAVES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Entering with a record of 80-44, the Braves are in 1st place in the NL East and are losers of two straight games. So far, they have a road win percentage of 63.3% compared to 65.6% at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 27-9-3.

The Braves will turn to starter Bryce Elder, who has compiled a 9-4 record in 24 appearances this season. His ERA is 3.46, and his K/9 rate is 6.52. Elder’s FIP stands at 4.27, while his OBP is .298.

Bryce Elder notched a victory and a quality start in his last outing, guiding his team to a 5-0 triumph over the Yankees. He yielded no runs and one hit in seven innings of work.

Over their last five games, the Braves are ranked 15th in the league in scoring at 3.4 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 5.8 per contest puts them 1st in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Atlanta is 1st, with an OBP currently sitting at .344. The team’s collective batting average is .274 (1st).

Marcell Ozuna has been a major contributor to the Atlanta Braves’ offensive success this season, boasting a .251 batting average and .492 slugging percentage. Over the past ten games, Ozuna has been particularly impressive, leading the team in hits with a .458 batting average.