You can catch this week 12 NFL game between the Saints and Falcons on FOX at 1:00 (11/26/23). The matchup will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (GA). The odds for this week 12 NFC South matchup have the Saints as the 1 point favorite on the spread. Keep reading to find out how I see this one playing out.


The Pick: Atlanta Falcons +1

This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 26th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 19-18 in favor of the Saints.
  • Our projections have Derek Carr finishing with 235.254 passing yards on 20.934/34.049 passing.
  • The Saints are projected to finish with 307 yards of offense compared to the 296 yards for the Falcons.

Will the Saints Make it Happen in Atlanta?

Heading into their matchup with the Falcons, the Saints have a 5-5 record. In the NFC-South, they are in 1st place and 4th place in the NFC overall. The Saints’ current scoring margin for the season stands at +1.6, contributing to their ATS record of 2-7-1.

So far this season, the New Orleans offense has been averaging 21.4 points per game, ranking them 17th in the league. New Orleans currently ranks 3rd in passing attempts and has an average of 6.2 yards per attempt (15). With 237.4 passing yards per game, they are positioned 11th in the league.

The Saints are currently 21st in the NFL with 100 rushing yards per game. This has come on an average of 27.7 rushing attempts (12th).

New Orleans’ defense has come up with 18 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 3rd in the NFL. Heading into week 12, they are allowing 19.8 points per game and 312.7 yards.

Does Atlanta Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Heading into their 10th game of the season, the Falcons are 4-6 overall and 3-2 on the road. The Falcons are looking to snap a two game home losing streak. In the NFC-South, they are in NFC-South place. The Falcons have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 2-8. Their average scoring margin for this season is -2.8.

The Falcons offense has been better at home this year, averaging 22.8 at home compared to 15 on the road. In terms of overall scoring, they are 22nd in the league. Atlanta’s passing offense, heading into this week’s game, holds the 21st ranking in passing yards. In terms of attempts, they are 23rd with an average of 32.2 passes per game.

On the ground, the Falcons have ran the ball an average of 31.1 times per game and are 7th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 4.2 yards per rushing attempt.

The Falcons are 7th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 308.8 yards per contest. Atlanta’s defense comes in with an average of 21.7 points per game allowed, which is 17th in the NFL.