At 1:00 ET, it’s a week 12 NFL battle between the Colts and Buccaneers at Lucas Oil Stadium. Don’t miss it on CBS as the game takes place on Sunday, November 26th. The Colts are the 2.5 favorites to come away with the win in this non-conference matchup. Are they the best play against the spread? Keep reading to see how I think this one plays out in Indianapolis.


The Pick: Indianapolis Colts -2.5

This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 26th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 23-18 in favor of the Colts.
  • Our projections have Gardner Minshew finishing with 244.886 passing yards on 21.133/32.498 passing.
  • The Colts are projected to finish with 344 yards of offense compared to the 292 yards for the Buccaneers.

Will the Buccaneers Defense Show Up on the Road?

Through 10 games, the Buccaneers have a record of 4-6. This mark has them 3rd in the NFC-South and 11th in the NFC. In terms of the spread, the Buccaneers hold a record of 7-3. This has come on an average scoring margin of -0.8.

Tampa Bay’s offense is 21st in the league, with an average of 19.2 points per contest. Tampa Bay is currently 11th in passing attempts and are averaging 6.5 yards per attempt (12). At 227.8 passing yards per game, they are 14th in the league.

With an average of 76.9 rushing yards per game, the Buccaneers currently rank 31st in the NFL. This figure is based on 24.8 rushing attempts (21st).

When it comes to defense, the Buccaneers have given up 270.7 passing yards and 90.0 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Tampa Bay ranks 10th among other defenses. Coming into week 12, they have allowed 20 points per game and 360.7 yards.

Do the Colts Have What it Takes at Home?

Going into week 12, Indianapolis is 3rd in the AFC-South with an overall record of 5-5. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 9th place. The Colts’ current scoring margin for the season stands at -0.6, contributing to their ATS record of 6-4.

On the offensive front, the Colts are currently averaging 24.2 points per game, positioning them 9th in the NFL. Indianapolis is presently 18th in passing attempts, with an average of 6.4 yards per attempt (13). Their 218.1 passing yards per game also place them 17th in the league.

The Colts come into the game handing the ball off 28.6 times per game and are currently 10th in rushing yards. Their average yards per attempt is 4.1.

The Indianapolis defense has recorded 16 takeaways this season, which places them 4th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 24.8 is 23rd in the league while giving up 358.5 yards per contest.