NCAA Football Free ATS Pick – No. 18 Cincinnati at No. 17 Memphis 11/29/19

The No. 18 Cincinnati Bearcats (+11) are set to face off against the No. 17 Memphis Tigers (-11) at Liberty Bowl Memorial. ABC has the TV rights and this crucial AAC game is scheduled to start at 3:30 p.m. ET.

No. 18 Cincinnati vs. No. 17 Memphis Betting Odds 11/29/2019

Memphis is giving up 11 points in this AAC game. The Bearcats are currently getting +325 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -450. This AAC matchup will probably present several live betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 57.5 points.

The line opened at -11 while the total has yet to move after it was initially set at 57.5.

The Bearcats are 10-1 straight up (SU), including 7-0 SU against AAC opponents. The Tigers are 10-1 SU overall and are also 6-1 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Tigers are up 6.2 units and the Bearcats have gained 7.5 units.

These two AAC foes did not get a chance to face one another last season.

The Bearcats just got a 15-13 victory over Temple last week. Desmond Ridder completed only nine-of-25 passes for 62 yards and one interception. Michael Warren II (106 yards on 24 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Tre Tucker (two receptions, six yards) and Malick Mbodj (two catches, 16 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Memphis takes the field this week following a 49-10 win over South Florida. Brady White completed 18-of-28 passes for 222 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Patrick Taylor Jr. (95 yards on 17 rush attempts, three TDs) and Kenneth Gainwell (128 yards on 14 carries) handled the running game while Kedarian Jones (six receptions, 99 yards, one TD) and Damonte Coxie (five catches, 69 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Cincinnati has run the ball on 63 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Memphis has an overall rush percentage of 57.5 percent. The Bearcats have produced 197 rush yards/game (including 203 per game versus American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 21 scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 196 rushing yards per contest (170 in conference) and have 26 total rush TDs.

The Bearcats have averaged 179 yards through the air overall (155 per game versus conference opposition) and have 17 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have put up 292 pass yards per outing (310.7 in the AAC) and have 30 total pass scores.

Defensively, Cincinnati has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 134 yards and throw for 231 yards per game. Memphis has allowed 166.5 yards per game on the ground and 195.2 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Bearcats have given up an ANY/A of 5.13 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers are yielding an ANY/A of 5.5.

Ridder is up to 1,758 passing yards on the year, and has completed 140-of-247 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Ridder has a 5.97 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 0.94 over the past two outings.

The Bearcats will probably try to maintain tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Malick Mbodj (134 yards) has gotten looks recently, but backfield mates Michael Warren II (805 rush yards, 10 rush TDs, 118 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Gerrid Doaks (413 rush yards, four rush TDs, one receiving TD) have delivered in the Cincinnati gameplan.

Brady White has produced 2,733 yards, 25 TDs and six INTs for Memphis. His ANY/A stands at 9.94 for the year and 8.73 across his last two outings.

The Tigers will also try to control the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Kenneth Gainwell (463 receiving yards, three receiving TDs), Damonte Coxie (741 receiving yards and six receiving TDs) and Kedarian Jones (eight rush yards, 405 receiving yards, three TDs) have seen a lot of action recently.

Cincinnati Bearcats at Memphis Tigers Free Pick

SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – Memphis, O/U – Under