The Wolverines and Nittany Lions are set to face off at 8:30 ET on PEAC. The Nittany Lions will host the game at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN. The over/under for this game is set at 150.5 points, and Penn State is favored by -6.5 vs. Michigan in a Big Ten conference matchup.

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +6.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:30 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.

WHY BET THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Nittany Lions.
  • Even though we have Penn State winning straight-up, we like Michigan at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Michigan Make it Happen on the Road?

Michigan has had a tough season, as they enter this game with a record of 8-23. They have lost eight straight games, and their record in Big Ten play is just 3-17. On the road, the Wolverines are 2-10 this season, and their average scoring margin is -13.1 points per game.

As the underdog, Michigan has a record of 3-15 this season, and they have been the underdog in 18 of their 31 games. In their last game, they lost to Nebraska by a score of 85-70, and their record over their last 10 road games is 1-9.

Against the spread, Michigan has a record of 7-23 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is just 2-10. As the underdog, the Wolverines have gone 4-14 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Michigan is 2-8 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Michigan games is 17-13 and today’s line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (148.7). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 144 points compared to their season average of 152.6 points per game. Right now, their over/under record in their last three games is 2-1.

The Michigan offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against Nebraska. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.7% and connected on 9 threes. Dug McDaniel is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.6. Meanwhile, Olivier Nkamhoua also brings a PPG average of 14.8 into the game.

At present, the Wolverines’ defense is nationally ranked 324th, allowing 79.4 points per game. Michigan will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Nebraska to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.

Can the Nittany Lions Live Up to the Hype at Home?

After winning their last game against Maryland by a score of 85-69, Penn State is 15-16 overall and 9-11 in Big Ten play. At home, the Nittany Lions have a record of 13-5, and they have won their last three games at home.

For the season, Penn State has been favored in 11 games, going 7-4 in those contests. As the favorite, their average scoring margin is +8.8 points per game.

Overall this season, Penn State has gone 16-14-1 against the spread. At home, they have an ATS mark of 10-8. Over their last three games at home, the Nittany Lions have been a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread. As the favorite, Penn State has gone just 4-7 vs. the spread this year.

Over their last three games, the over/under record for Penn State is 2-1. In their last five games, the over/under record is 4-1, and over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 7-3. On the season, the over/under record for Penn State is 19-11-1. The average scoring total in their games this season is 150.2 points, and today’s over/under line is set at 150.5 points.

Penn State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 85 points vs. Maryland. Overall, they hit 47.6% of their shots from the field and went 19/22 from the free-throw line. Adrian Baldwin Jr is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Kanye Clary brings a PPG average of 16 into the game.

At present, the Nittany Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 241st, allowing 74.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Michigan. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.7%.