The Marlins (84-77, 38-43 away) travel to take on the Phillies (90-72, 49-32 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. Jesús Luzardo is getting the start for the Marlins while Zack Wheeler is starting for the Phillies. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown at Citizens Bank Park.
MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -161
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 8:08 ET on Tuesday, October 3rd.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- In their previous ten games, the Phillies have a record of 7-3.
- The Phillies are 8-2 straight-up in their ten most recent games as the favorite.
- Across Zack Wheeler’s 32 starts, the Phillies have put together a record of 19-13.
MIAMI MARLINS TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST
Heading into the game, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East on an overall record of 84-77. The team’s season-long road record is 38-43, which includes losing each of their past two road series. Against the runline, the Marlins are 74-88 and have an over/under mark of 75-83. Their runline record on the road is 39-42 this year.
The Marlins will look to starter Jesús Luzardo as they take the field. Luzardo has made 32 appearances this season, with a record of 10-10. His ERA stands at 3.63, and he’s posted a K/9 of 10.48. Additionally, his FIP is 3.55 and OBP .295.
Jesús Luzardo put forth a quality start in the Marlins’ 1-0 loss to the Mets, surrendering one run over 7 1/3 innings of work. Despite the defeat, Luzardo’s performance was a bright spot for Miami.
Having gone deep 3 times in their last five games, the Marlins are 9th in that span. At 4.1 runs per game, Miami is 25th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .259 while hitting a total of 166 home runs (20th).
Jorge Soler has been one of the Miami Marlins’ most productive offensive players in 2023. The slugger has posted a .250 batting average while driving in 75 runs and belting 36 home runs.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Throughout the season, the Phillies have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 17-7 at Citizens Bank Park. Their overall record of 90-72 puts Philadelphia 2nd in the NL East. Against the runline, their overall record is 71-91 and 34-47 at home. This year’s Phillies’ games have an over/under record of 75-77.
Today marks Zack Wheeler’s 33rd outing of the season, with a 13-6 record to show for it. His ERA is 3.61 and opponents are batting .273 against him. Wheeler has struck out 212 batters and holds a WHIP of 1.08. On the road, his ERA is 3.69, compared to 4.36 at home.
Zack Wheeler’s most recent outing saw him pitch for four innings, as the Phillies ultimately fell to the Pirates 3-2. Despite not earning a decision, Wheeler yielded just one run on four hits.
This season, the Phillies are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .234 (18th) leading to 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.3 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage of .327 has them 7th in the MLB.
The Philadelphia Phillies have been bolstered by Kyle Schwarber’s offensive production in 2023. Boasting a .197 batting average, the slugger has driven in 104 runs and hit 47 home runs.