Following a slow Monday in the MLB, all 30 teams are back in action on Tuesday, September 27, and this divisional duel is a must-win for the hosts, so here you can check out the Marlins vs. Mets betting pick and odds.
Miami and New York will play the first of a two-game series at Citi Field, and the Mets are -210 moneyline favorites on BetDSI Sportsbook, while the total is set at 7 runs. These NL East foes have met 17 times this year, and the Mets lead 12-5.
Marlins won the series over the Nationals
The Miami Marlins returned a favor to the divisional rivals Washington Nationals, who beat them in a series ten days ago. This time around, Miami won two of three games at home. They opened that series with a pair of wins but lost the final one 6-1.
The Marlins scored their lone run of the game in the 8th inning through Lewin Diaz’s home run, but the hosts deserved to win after registering six hits opposite Washington’s 13. Bryan de la Cruz was the lone Marlin with a multi-hit game. Edward Cabrera dropped to a 6-4 record after surrendering three runs on six hits with three strikeouts and no walks in 3.2 innings.
Pablo Lopez (9-10) is getting his 31st start of the year when he takes on the Mets on Tuesday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a solid 3.88 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 162/50 K/BB ratio over 167.0 innings of work.
Mets beat the A’s on the road
The New York Mets returned home from a six-game road trip on which they faced the Milwaukee Brewers and Oakland Athletics, with four wins in the bag. New York dismantled the A’s 13-4 in the final game of the series, which was their highest-scoring display of the season. The Mets are still atop of the NL East with two wins ahead of the Atlanta Braves, but the Braves have a game in their hands.
Pete Alonso set the team record of five RBIs as he homered and doubled twice on four hits. Francisco Lindor and Eduardo Escobar combined for five RBIs as the Mets thrashed Oakland. Max Scherzer improved to an 11-4 record after allowing only a run on four hits with seven strikeouts and a walk across 6.0 innings.
Carlos Carrasco (15-6) will take the mound for the 28th time this year when he meets Miami on Tuesday. The 35-year-old right-hander owns a 3.79 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and 147/39 K/BB ratio in 145.0 innings.
- 2-8 in the last ten road games
- 7-24 in the last 31 vs. National League East rivals
- 11-27 in the last 38 games vs. a right-handed starter
- 8-2 in the last ten overall
- 5-1 in the last six games vs. a right-handed starter
- 5-1 in the last six games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Pick
Although Pablo Lopez bounced back from a devastating start against the Yankees with a couple of quality starts against the Phillies and Cubs, I expect him to struggle again in this matchup. Over his four starts against the Mets this year (1-3), Lopez has been disastrous with an 11.34 ERA across 16.2 innings. On the other hand, Carlos Carrasco has been excellent against Miami this season. In four starts (3-0), Carrasco registered a phenomenal 2.10 ERA in 25.2 innings. It’s safe to say that Lopez doesn’t like this matchup and I am backing the hosts to torment him once again.
Pick: Take the Mets at -1.5 Run Line (+110)
The Mets scored even 30 runs in four games against Miami when Pablo Lopez was a starter! He surrendered eight earned runs on ten hits in his previous start against New York, and I can only imagine what the hosts will do to him this time around. Lopez is struggling against Mark Canha, Eduardo Escobar, Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil, and Brandon Nimmo, which is more than a half of the Mets’ lineup, so I expect the home side to show no mercy to Lopez on Tuesday. Over is 4-0-1 in Lopez’s last five starts during game 1 of a series.
Pick: Go Over 7 runs (-110)