Thursday’s matchup between the Marlins and Cubs is set to get started at 7:40 PM ET from Wrigley Field in Chicago. The Cubs are sending Jameson Taillon to the mound up against A.J. Puk for the Marlins. Coming into the game, the Marlins are 4-15 compared to the Cubs at 11-7.

Chicago is the favorite at -152, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it can be seen on MARQ.

CHICAGO CUBS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -152

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 7:40 ET on Thursday, April 18th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS CUBS:

  • We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Marlins Records & Stats

The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 3-1 loss. This was Miami’s third straight loss, as they also dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the slight favorite at -106 on the money line.

Trevor Rogers got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only gave up one run on four hits but issued three walks and took the loss. Miami’s offense scored their only run in thejson 6th, and Bryan De La Cruz was the one who drove it in, going 2/4 with a homer.

Miami is really struggling this season, as they have a record of 4-15 heading into today’s game at Wrigley Field. The Marlins are on a six-game losing streak in series matchups and are still looking for their first series win this season. In the NL East, they are in 5th place and trail the Braves by nine games.

So far, Miami has been really bad at home, going 2-11, and they have been just below average on the road at 2-4. As the underdog this season, the Marlins are 4-8 compared to 0-7 as the favorite.

Despite their overall struggles, the Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 3-3. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game away from home. Miami has been a much better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 6-6, compared to 0-7 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +4.2 runs per game, while it drops to -3.5 runs per game in losses.

When the Marlins have played games with an over/under line of 7.5, the over/under record is 1-1. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 11-8. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and 89.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

A.J. Puk is getting the start for the Miami Marlins today on the road against the Cubs. In his first start of the season, he went 4 2/3 innings and took the loss, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks. He has 2 strikeouts in each of his first two starts.

Our projected top hitter for the Marlins today is Luis Arraez, as he has the highest total hits projection on the team and in the league today. If you’re looking for a longshot bet, Jesús Sánchez has the 7th highest home run projection in the league today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is our top home run pick for the Marlins, as he has the best odds on the team and 7th best in the league today.

Cubs Records & Stats

The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Diamondbacks in the bottom of the first, the Cubs responded with two runs of their own. Chicago went on to add another two runs in the 5th inning.

Starting for the Cubs was Jordan Wicks, who picked up the win. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Cody Bellinger had a big game at thejson, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

With an overall record of 11-7, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, just half a game behind the Brewers. Today, the Cubs are at home, taking on the Marlins. This season, the Cubs have yet to play a game against other teams in the NL Central.

Chicago has been good at home so far, putting together a 5-1 record. And they have been above .500 on the road, going 6-6. Coming into today’s game, the Cubs have won four straight games as the favorite.

When the Cubs are favored, they are 3-1 against the run line. When they are the underdog, they are 10-4 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.6. Overall, they are 13-5 against the run line this season.

The Cubs have a combined run average of 10.4 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 9-9. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 3-1 in those games. Overall, 72.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Jameson Taillon is coming off a season in which he made 29 starts and finished with a record of 8-10. His ERA for the year was 4.84, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.28. Taillon’s batting average allowed was .254, while his on-base percentage allowed was .301. He finished the year with nine quality starts and gave up a total of 27 home runs. For the season, Taillon averaged 8.16 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.39 walks per nine innings.

When it comes to the Cubs’ offensive projections, we have Nico Hoerner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. If you’re looking for a home run pick, our model likes Christopher Morel, as he has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and his home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Garrett Cooper is our 2nd best home run pick for the Cubs and his odds to hit a home run are 9th best in the league today.