The 2022 MLB season continues Sunday, May 29, with the NL West showdown at Truist Park in Atlanta, so we have prepared the best Marlins vs. Braves betting pick along with the latest odds update on Bookmaker Sportsbook.
Miami and Atlanta close down their three-game set in Georgia, and the Braves are listed as firm -195 moneyline favorites with a total of 8.5 runs. Atlanta beat Miami 6-4 in Friday’s opener, while the middle clash of this set has been excluded from the analysis.
The Marlins are looking to break out of their slump
The Miami Marlins fell to 18-25 following that 6-4 defeat at Truist Park. It was their third loss in a row and sixth in their previous seven showings at any location. The Marlins struggled mightily in May, going 6-17 through their first 23 contests this month.
Over the last seven days, the Marlins have slashed just .216/.296/.328. On the other side of the ball, their pitching staff has recorded a 4.09 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and .224 batting average against.
Elieser Hernandez will toe the slab Sunday, and the 27-year-old right-hander is 2-4 with a pedestrian 5.45 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in eight starts and one relief appearance in 2022. Hernandez has been charged for a loss in three straight starts, posting a 3.77 ERA and 6.35 FIP in the process. He’s gone 0-1 in a couple of starts against the Braves this season and yielded six earned runs across 9.2 frames of work.
The Braves’ shaky form goes on
The Atlanta Braves improved to 22-24 on the season following Friday’s victory to the Marlins. It was their third win in the last four contests and sixth in the Braves’ previous 12 showings at any location. Since Opening Day, the reigning champs haven’t won three straight games, which tells you a lot about their form.
The Braves are scoring 4.15 runs per game (tied-18th in the MLB) on a .232/.303/.398 triple-slash (.238/.309/.383 league average). In the last seven days, their pitching staff has recorded an underwhelming 4.75 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Max Fried will take the mound Sunday and face the Marlins for the first time this season. The 28-year-old southpaw is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA, 2.74 FIP, 1.05 WHIP, and 52/8 K/BB ratio in nine starts (55 innings) in 2022. Fried has gone only 1-3 with a poor 5.89 ERA in ten career starts against Miami.
- 1-6 in the last seven games overall
- 0-5 in Elieser Hernandez’s last five appearances
- 14-6 in the last 20 games against Miami
- 5-2 in Max Fried’s last seven starts
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Pick
The Marlins blew a 4-3 lead in Friday’s opener at Truist Park, recording the 14th defeat in their last 20 encounters with the Braves. Miami has missed its best player over the last five days, and Jazz Chisholm’s absence has been a massive blow for the Marlins’ offense.
Chisholm wasn’t in the lineup on Saturday and is questionable to play Sunday. The Braves have a nice opportunity to grab another win over the Marlins, and I’m backing them to deliver.
Pick: Take Atlanta Braves at -195
Elieser Hernandez will have a mountain to climb when he meets Atlanta at Truist Park. The current Braves are hitting terrific .372/.416/.878 with four home runs and six extra-base hits in 84 at-bats against Hernandez.
On the other side, the current Marlins have a decent .243/.291/.450 slash line in 90 at-bats against Fried. They’ve smacked five homers off the Braves’ left-hander. Miami’s bullpen has posted a 4.15 ERA over the last seven days, while Atlanta’s relievers have recorded a 2.81 ERA in that span, so I’ll go with the over. The Braves could easily score a ton of runs on their own.
Pick: Go over 8.5 runs at -105