Los Angeles takes on Arizona in the third contest of their four-game series at Chase Field in Phoenix this Saturday night, so we have prepared the best Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks betting pick along with the latest odds update on MyBookie Sportsbook.
The Dodgers open as firm -177 road favorites. The Diamondbacks sit at +163 moneyline odds, and the totals are listed at 9.5 runs.
The Blew Crew trounced the D-backs last Thursday
The second game of this set has been excluded from the analysis, while the Los Angeles Dodgers rolled past the Diamondbacks 14-1 in Thursday’s opener. Freddie Freeman had a big night at the plate, slugging a three-run homer and a pair of doubles for five RBIs in total.
The Dodgers just failed to score in a tough 1-0 defeat at the Nationals this past Wednesday. Their offense has been ridiculous for most of the young season, tallying 5.68 runs per game (1st in the majors) on a .254/.340/.429 slash line (.238/.309/.382 league average).
LA also boasts the lowest ERA in baseball (2.69). Tony Gonsolin will toe the slab Saturday at Chase Field and aim for his third win over the D-backs this season. In his previous two dates with Arizona, the 28-year-old righty has yielded four earned runs on six hits across ten innings of work. Gonsolin is 4-0 with a shiny 1.62 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 37/16 K/BB ratio in eight starts (39 frames) in 2022.
The Diamondbacks need more from their pitching staff
The Arizona Diamondbacks fell to 23-23 following that heavy loss to the Dodgers. It was their second defeat in the last seven outings, as the Diamondbacks won last week’s four-game road series against the Chicago Cubs and swept the Kansas City Royals in a two-game interleague set at home to start this week.
Over their last five games, the D-backs have slugged eight home runs while slashing an excellent .269/.352/.456, but their pitching staff has recorded a horrible 6.80 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and .326 batting average against.
Merrill Kelly will toe the rubber Saturday, hoping to avoid another meltdown against the Dodgers. He was charged for a loss in a 12-3 defeat at Dodger Stadium last week. Kelly got pounded by the Blew Crew, giving up eight earned runs on five hits and four walks across two innings of work. The 33-year-old right-hander is 3-2 with a 3.49 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 42/18 K/BB ratio in nine starts (49 IP) this season.
- 10-2 in the last 12 games overall
- 6-3 in the last nine games on the road
- 5-22 in the last 27 games against the Dodgers
- 3-8 in the last 11 games against the National League
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
The Diamondbacks got swept by the Dodgers in the last week’s four-game series in LA. They’ve won only five of their previous 27 encounters with the Blew Crew, so I’m backing the visitors to extend their dominance.
Tony Gonsolin is doing a great job for the Dodgers. Even if he starts to struggle, the Dodgers can lean on their bullpen, which has recorded a strong 2.13 ERA and 3.22 FIP in the last seven days. On the other side, Merrill Kelly could have another nightmare, while Arizona’s bullpen has posted a pedestrian 5.32 ERA and 5.88 FIP over the last seven days while yielding 1.90 home runs per nine innings.
Pick: Take Los Angeles Dodgers at -177
The current Dodgers are slashing .298/.322/.524 in 149 at-bats against Merrill Kelly. Freddie Freeman is 5-for-10 with four doubles; Will Smith is 7-for-14 with a home run, while Mookie Betts and Cody Bellinger have combined for ten hits and four dingers through 32 at-bats versus Kelly.
I don’t like a 9.5-run line, as Tony Gonsolin and the Dodgers ‘pen could easily shut down the Diamondbacks. Still, it’s tough to take the under with all the firepower in the Dodgers’ lineup.
Pick: Go over 9.5 runs at -110