At 7:00 ET, the 76ers will host the Heat in an Eastern Conference matchup. Philadelphia is currently a 5.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 208.

ESPN will be broadcasting the game from the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. The 76ers have won 8 straight games and are 47-35 on the season. Miami has won 2 straight and is 46-36 overall. The Heat are currently 8th in the Eastern Conference, while the 76ers are 7th.

MIAMI HEAT VS PHILADELPHIA 76ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +5.5

This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, April 17th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-107 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Heat Pull the Upset on the Road?

Miami is 11-23 as the underdog this season and has gone 17-17 ATS in those games. As the underdog, the Heat have lost three straight against the spread.

Their O/U record for the season is 35-47, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, Miami has played in games with an average of 218.5 points per game.

Miami’s ATS record on the road is 24-14, and they are 40-39 overall. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 8th place and have gone 32-20 against other teams in the East.

In their last game, the Heat defeated the Raptors by a score of 118-103. Miami was favored by 16.5 points in that game and has now won two straight games.

Miami comes into the game as one of the NBA’s worst scoring teams, at 110.1 points per game. On the road, they are even worse, at 108.1 points per contest. The Heat have played at the second-slowest pace in the league this season, averaging just 95.8 possessions per game.

Looking at Tyler Herro’s production over the Heat’s last five games, he has averaged 21.8 points per game while shooting 46.6% from the field. In these games, Jimmy Butler has hit 55.6% of his shots from the field and averaged 18.6 points. Butler has also averaged 6.2 assists in these games. For the season, Herro and Butler are averaging 20.8 points per game.

Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 20.7% of their games. Currently, they are 3rd in the NBA at 108.4 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 55.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.4% of their three-point attempts.

Can the 76ers Hold Strong at Home?

The 76ers are favored by 5.5 points today and have gone 9 straight games as the favorite. This season, they are 38-13 as the favorite and have an ATS record of 34-17 as the favorite.

Philly has an average scoring differential of +8.3 points per game when favored and has gone 42-40 on the over/under. Today’s O/U line of 208 is lower than all but one of their games this season.

In their last game against the Nets, the 76ers won 107-86. They were favored by 12.5 points going into the game and have now won 8 straight games overall.

Against the spread, the 76ers have covered in 10 straight games and have an ATS record of 49-32 for the season. At home, they are 24-16 ATS and have an average scoring differential of +4.9 points per game.

Coming into today’s game, the 76ers are 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 31-21 compared to 16-14 in non-conference games.

This season, the 76ers have gone 42-40 on the over/under and their games have averaged 226.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 208 is lower than all but one of their games this season.

Philadelphia comes into the game as the NBA’s 15th-ranked scoring offense, at 114.6 points per game. Their production at home is slightly better, at 115.5 points per contest, which is 14th in the league. The 76ers are also a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of pace, averaging 97.3 possessions per game.

Joel Embiid is averaging 33 points per game over his last three games, hitting 53.4% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 3.3 made threes per game. Across his last three games, he is averaging 12 rebounds and 5.3 assists. Tyrese Maxey has averaged 28.2 points per game in his last four games on 47.7% shooting. In this stretch, he hit 2.8 threes per game.

The 76ers’ defense is presently ranked 9th in the league, allowing an average of 111.5 points per contest. Philadelphia’s defense is currently forcing 11.3 turnovers per game, which is 1st in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 6th in blocked shots, with an average of 6 rejections per game.