Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Playoffs Western Conference first-round series between Memphis and Minnesota is set for Saturday, April 23, at Target Center in Minneapolis, so we bring you the best Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves betting pick and odds.

Memphis aims for its third straight victory over Minnesota, and the Grizzlies opened as 3-point road favorites for Game 4. The Timberwolves are listed as +130 moneyline underdogs, and the totals sit at 232.5 points on Bookmaker Sportsbook.

The Grizzlies shut down Minnesota in Game 3       

The Memphis Grizzlies (58-27; 54-30-1 ATS) put on a strong defensive performance last Thursday to reclaim the home-court advantage in the first-round series against the Timberwolves. They held Minnesota to only 38.8% shooting from the field and 34.3% from beyond the 3-point line, overcoming a massive 25-point second-half deficit.

On the other side of the ball, Memphis shot 42.2% from the field and 37.8% from beyond the arc while handing out 22 assists. Desmond Bane led the charge for the Grizzlies with 26 points, six rebounds, and a couple of blocks; Ja Morant posted a triple-double of 16 points, ten boards, and ten assists but went only 5-for-18 from the field, while Brandon Clarke was an X-factor with 20 points and eight rebounds off the bench.

Jaren Jackson Jr. racked up five fouls early in the game, finishing with six points, seven boards, and a couple of steals and blocks. Still, Jackson had a plus-14 net rating, but he’s averaging only 11.3 points throughout the first-round series.

The Timberwolves’ inconsistency cost them a lot                

The Minnesota Timberwolves (48-38; 45-40-1 ATS) blew a massive lead in the third clash of this series. After scoring a paltry 12 points in the second quarter, the T-Wolves accounted for 12 points in the fourth as well, which is inadmissible in the postseason.

Anthony Edwards tweaked his left knee but finished the game with 19 points and seven rebounds. He should be ready to go Saturday. D’Angelo Russell led the charge for Minnesota with 22 points, eight assists, and five boards, while Karl-Anthony Towns took only four shots from the field, finishing with just eight points, five boards, and an assist. KAT also had five blocks on the night.

Through their previous three outings, the T-Wolves have scored only 104.6 points per 100 possessions on 43.0% shooting from the field and 34.2% from beyond the arc. They’ve allowed 113.5 points per 100 possessions, posting a minus-8.9 net rating.

Trends:

Memphis:

  • 6-2 ATS in the last eight outings as favorites 
  • 10-3 ATS in the last 13 games against Minnesota  

Minnesota:

  • 2-6 ATS in the last eight games overall
  • 1-4 ATS in the last five outings at home
  • 2-6 ATS in the last eight home contests against Memphis 

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick

The Timberwolves failed to hit a 100-point mark in each of their previous two meetings with Memphis, and I’m expecting the Grizzlies’ defense to make the difference once more. Back in the regular season, the Grizzlies ranked fourth in the NBA in points allowed per 100 possessions (109.0).

Minnesota played excellent defense on Ja Morant in Game 3, but the Timberwolves allowed Desmond Bane to take over. The Grizzlies are a well-balanced team, and they should win this battle if they continue to share the ball and play aggressive defense.

Pick: Take Memphis Grizzlies -3.0 at -110   

The Total:

The Grizzlies and Timberwolves average 101.8 possessions per 48 minutes in this series, but two of their three postseason encounters went under the total. After beating Memphis 130-117 in the opener, Minnesota has struggled mightily on the offensive end.

If they want to upset the odds and tie the series at 2-2, the Timberwolves have to execute their offense at a much higher level. However, they won’t hurt the Grizzlies by forcing up-tempo basketball. Hereof, I lean toward the under.

Pick: Go under 232.5 points at -110