At 9:00 ET, the Western Conference matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies (24-47) and the Denver Nuggets (50-21) will take place at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are currently favored by 14.5 and have a three-game win streak.

ALT will be televising the game, and the over/under line is set at 212.5 points.


The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +14.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, March 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 107-97 in favor of the Nuggets.
  • Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Grizzlies Pull Off a Win at Denver?

As the underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 18-37 this season and are 30-25 against the spread as the underdog. Memphis has been the underdog in 55 of their 71 games this season and has an average scoring differential of -7.7 points per game.

On the road, the Grizzlies are 21-15 against the spread compared to 14-21 at home. Their ATS record on the road is 16-20, and they are 5th in the Western Conference with a 16-20 road record.

In their last game, the Grizzlies defeated the Spurs by a score of 99-97. They were 6.5-point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 216 points.

This season, Memphis has an O/U record of 33-37-1, with an average of 218.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 212.5 points, and the Grizzlies have played in 61 games with higher over/under lines.

The Grizzlies are currently 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 24-47. In the Southwest Division, they are in 4th place. In non-conference games, Memphis is 10-15 and 14-32 against other Western Conference teams.

This season, the Grizzlies have struggled to score, ranking 30th in the league with 105.9 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 108.5 points per game.

When looking at their field goal percentage, the Grizzlies are last in the NBA, shooting just 43% from the field. In terms of pace, they are 16th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game.

One area where Memphis has been successful is three-point shooting. They are 9th in the NBA, making an average of 13.4 threes per game. However, their overall three-point percentage is just 34%, which is 29th in the league.

Coming into the game, the Grizzlies defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 45.1% of their games. Currently, they are 10th in the NBA at 112.6 points per game allowed. Most recently, the Grizzlies’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 97 points to the Spurs.

Will the Nuggets Find a Way to Win at Home?

The Nuggets have won three straight games and are currently the top team in the Western Conference with a record of 50-21. In their last game, they defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 114-111. The O/U line for that game was 209.5.

This season, Denver has an O/U record of 28-41-2, and the over has hit in each of their last three games. On average, their games have seen 224.7 points scored, and today’s O/U line is set at 212.5.

In terms of their ATS record, the Nuggets are 32-37 overall and 17-16 at home. They have gone 27-32 vs. the spread as the favorite this season and are favored by 14.5 points today. Denver has won four straight games vs. the spread at home.

Looking at their Western Conference record, the Nuggets are 28-15 compared to 22-6 against non-conference opponents. The team’s ATS record vs. the West is 15-21 on the road and 17-16 at home.

At home, the Nuggets are scoring 118.8 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are averaging 114.6 points per game (14th).

Denver is one of the top teams in the league in terms of two-point field goal percentage, making 56% of their attempts (9th). However, they are 30th in three-point attempts and 28th in free throw attempts.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.9% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league.

At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th, allowing 110.1 points per game. For the season, Denver is ranked 24th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.1 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.6%.