Head Coach Eli Drinkwitz and the No. 20 Appalachian State Mountaineers (-7) are entering the Sun Belt Championship Game as favorites against Coach Billy Napier and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns. ESPN is scheduled to have the TV rights and the opening kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET.
Louisiana vs. No. 20 Appalachian State Betting Odds 12/7/2019
Appalachian State is giving up 7 points in this SBC game. The Ragin’ Cajuns are currently receiving +210 moneyline odds while the Mountaineers are -270. This SBC matchup will likely have several live betting possibilities. The over/under has been set at 56 points.
Sharp bettors have been hammering the under. The game’s total initially opened at 57.5.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 10-2 straight up (SU), including 7-1 SU against conference opponents. The Mountaineers are 11-1 SU overall and 7-1 SU in conference play. Each team has posted a positive return this year as the Mountaineers are up 3.0 units and the Ragin’ Cajuns have gained 4.0 units.
The Ragin’ Cajuns just pulled off a 31-30 win over Louisiana-Monroe last week. Levi Lewis completed 15-of-23 passes for 270 yards and three touchdowns. Elijah Mitchell (102 yards on 19 rushes) and Raymond Calais (107 yards on eight carries, one TD) propelled the ground attack while Ja’Marcus Bradley (four receptions, 127 yards, one TD) and Jarrod Jackson (four catches, 66 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Appalachian State just earned a 48-13 win over Troy. The team’s defensive secondary let the Trojans air it out for 304 yards. Reggie Todd had a productive showing in the loss, recording 82 yards on five catches for Troy. For Appalachian State, Zac Thomas completed 28-of-34 passes for 326 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Darrynton Evans (82 rushing yards on 13 attempts, two TDs) mounted the running game while Thomas Hennigan (11 receptions, 140 yards) and Malik Williams (six catches, 42 yards, two TDs) led the receiving corps in the win.
Each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Louisiana has run the ball on 59.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Appalachian State has a rush percentage of 60.8. The Ragin’ Cajuns, however, have produced 274 rush yards/game (including 249 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have 40 scores on the ground this year. The Mountaineers haven’t been quite as productive. They’re putting up 226 rush yards per contest (238 in conference) and have 31 total rushing TDs.
The Ragin’ Cajuns have averaged 226 yards through the air overall (219 per game against conference opposition) and have 21 passing scores so far. The Mountaineers have put up 211 pass yards per game (231.9 in the SBC) and have 26 total pass TDs.
Louisiana has allowed opponents to run for an average of 172 yards and throw for 198 yards per game. Appalachian State has allowed 134.3 rushing yards per game and 186.8 to opposing teams in the air. The Mountaineers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.45 to opposing QBs, while the Ragin’ Cajuns have allowed a 4.97 ANY/A.
Thomas has put up 2,253 yards, 22 TDs and six INTs. Thomas’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.38 for the season and 11.50 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Lewis is up to 2,177 passing yards on the year, and has completed 179-of-272 attempts with 19 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Lewis has a sparkling 8.22 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 10.03 over the past two games.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Appalachian State Mountaineers Free Pick
SU Winner – Appalachian State, ATS Winner – Appalachian State, O/U – Over
Team Betting Trends
The O/U for Louisiana’s last game was 71.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-30 win over Louisiana-Monroe.
As a team, Louisiana has averaged 6.1 yards per rush attempt across its past three contests and 6.4 over its last two.
Appalachian State has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and only 5.5 over its last two.
The Appalachian State offense has lost two fumbles this season while Louisiana has lost eight.
Over its last three games, Louisiana is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Louisiana has won 11 of its last 12 games SU, with an October 9th defeat to Appalachian State representing the only loss over that span.
The O/U for Appalachian State’s previous match was set at 64.5. The under cashed in the 48-13 victory over Troy.
Over its last three matchups, Appalachian State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Ragin’ Cajuns offense has created five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Mountaineers have accounted for 13 such plays.
The Louisiana defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while Appalachian State has given up one such play.
The Louisiana offense has created 33 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Appalachian State has created 30 such runs.
The Ragin’ Cajuns defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Mountaineers have given up 15 such runs.
The Appalachian State D has registered 29 sacks on the year while Louisiana has 26.