No. 22 Virginia Cavaliers (-29) are coming into the Dr. Pepper ACC Championship Game as heavy favorites as they prepare to battle the No. 3 Clemson Tigers. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET and ABC is scheduled to have the TV rights. These two ACC adversaries did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.
No. 22 Virginia at No. 3 Clemson Betting Odds 12/7/2019
Clemson has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 29 points to Virginia. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 54 points, and if one school catches a lucky break in the early stages, it will likely create a reasonable live betting scenario.
Odds have swayed slightly from where they were originally posted. The opening line was -28 while the game’s O/U was placed initially at 53.5.
The Cavaliers are 6-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 3.1 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 8-4.
The Tigers have gained 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 9-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-7.
The unblemished Cavaliers have gone 9-3 straight up (SU), including 6-2 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 12-0 SU overall and 8-0 SU in conference play.
The Wahoos continue to ride high after a 39-30 win over Virginia Tech last week. Bryce Perkins completed 20 passes for 311 yards, as well as a TD and an interception. Perkins (164 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) also led the ground attack. Joe Reed (five receptions, 66 yards) and Hasise Dubois (four catches, 139 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Clemson just got a 38-3 win over South Carolina. The defense held its ground in the victory, restricting the Gamecocks to only 105 passing yards and 69 yards on the ground. Tavien Feaster was a bright spot in the loss for South Carolina, accounting for 47 rushing yards on 12 attempts. As a group, the Tigers collectively completed 28-of-43 passes for 316 yards and three touchdowns. Trevor Lawrence went 26-for-36 for 295 yards and three touchdowns while Chase Brice was two-of-five for 21 yards. Travis Etienne (51 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) and Lyn-J Dixon (60 yards on 12 carries) spearheaded the running game as Justyn Ross (nine receptions, 111 yards, one TD) and Etienne (three catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Virginia has run the ball on 47.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Clemson has a rush percentage of 53.5 percent. The Cavaliers have run for 128 yards per game (including 128 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 28 scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are putting up 256 rush yards per game (261 in conference) and have 36 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Tigers might have an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 6.5 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 2.9 YPC to opponents. The Cavaliers have tallied 3.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.5 to opponents.
The Wahoos offense has averaged 261 yards through the air overall (257 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Tigers have produced 285 pass yards per outing (290.8 in the ACC) and have 34 total pass TDs.
Virginia has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 123 yards and pass for 213 yards per game. The Clemson D has allowed 126.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.3 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.33 to opponents, while the Cavaliers have allowed a 5.58 ANY/A.
Lawrence has been more sharp than Perkins lately. The Tigers man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 9.17 for the season and 10.04 across his past two games while Perkins’ ANY/A is 5.81 and 7.49 over his last two.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner – Clemson, ATS Winner – Virginia, O/U – Under
Virginia has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.9 over its last two.
Clemson has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three games and only 4.9 over its past two.
The Clemson offense has lost four fumbles this season while Virginia has lost six.
The Cavaliers offense has registered seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have put up 10 such plays.
The Virginia defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Clemson has given up five such plays.
The Virginia offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Clemson has created 25 such runs.
The Cavaliers defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up eight such runs.
The Virginia defense has sacked opposing QBs 43 times this season. Clemson has produced just 36 sacks.