The NFL playoffs continue with this AFC Wild Card game in Jacksonville on Saturday, January 14, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Chargers vs. Jaguars betting pick and odds.
Jacksonville is hoping for the sixth win in a row when they host Los Angeles at TIAA Bank Field. The Chargers are 2-point favorites on BetOnline Sportsbook, while the total is set at 47.5 points. These conference rivals met once this year, and the Jaguars dismantled the Chargers 38-10 in Los Angeles.
Chargers lost in Denver but still secured the No. 5 seed
The Los Angeles Chargers (10-7-0, 11-5-1 ATS) couldn’t record their fifth consecutive win as they fell short of the Denver Broncos on the road, but that loss didn’t affect their No. 5 seed. The Chargers were expected to rest key players, but head coach Brandon Staley opted to start them and keep them on the field until the final few minutes. Los Angeles had a 14-7 and 17-10 lead in the first half, but the Broncos were better after the interval and secured a 31-28 victory.
Justin Herbert completed 25 of 37 passes for 273 yards and two touchdowns. His deputy, Chase Daniel, completed five of seven passes for 25 yards and a touchdown. Keenan Allen was excellent in the air with a team-high 102 yards and two touchdowns on eight receptions, while Gerald Everett also caught a TD pass. The run offense didn’t really work for the Chargers, who collected only 59 rushing yards on 22 attempts. On defense, Drue Tranquill and Derwin James Jr. led the team with six tackles apiece.
K Dustin Hopkins (hamstring), CB J.C. Jackson (knee), WR Jalen Guyton (knee), and T Rashawn Slater (biceps) are out indefinitely. WR Mike Williams (back) and LB Kenneth Murray (neck) are questionable to feature on Saturday against Jacksonville.
Jaguars beat the Titans to book a playoff place
The Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8-0, 8-8-1 ATS) defeated the Tennessee Titans for the second tie in a month as they secured the fifth straight win and a playoff spot. After defeating the Jets and Texans on the road and allowing just six points in the process, the Jaguars had a harder job against the Titans at home but still prevailed 20-16. Tennessee had a 10-0 lead and a six-point lead entering the final 15 minutes, but the Jags scored ten unanswered to win the game and AFC South. It wasn’t a great offensive performance from Jacksonville, but the defense was the most deserving for this W. Josh Allen returned a fumble for a touchdown late in the game to give his team the first lead of the clash which proved to be crucial.
Trevor Lawrence completed 20 of 32 passes for 212 yards and a touchdown. Christian Kirk was on the receiving end of that TD pass as he led the game with 99 yards on six catches. The Jaguars were ineffective on the ground with only 19 rushing yards on 14 carries. Defensively, Foyesade Oluokun impressed with a game-high 13 tackles and a sack.
- 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games overall
- 4-0 ATS in the last four Wild Card games
- 7-2 ATS in the last nine road games
- 0-4 ATS in the last four games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game
- 4-11 ATS in the last 15 games following an ATS loss
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick
Even though the numbers are on Jacksonville’s side when it comes to offense, I am going with the Chargers in this one. Jacksonville averages 23.8 points per game, which is slightly better than Los Angeles’ 23.0 ppg, but the Chargers do have more offensive weapons. Herbert, Allen, Williams, and Ekeler can unlock the Jags’ secondary that allows 238.5 yards per contest to the opposing receivers, while on the other hand, the Chargers allowed only 200.4 passing yards per game, so Lawrence could encounter some problems through the air in this game. I am going with the third-best pass offense in the NFL which averages 269.6 yards per game.
Pick: Take the Chargers at +0.5 (-125)
The pass offense can be a problem for the hosts here, but they can turn to the running, which was awful in the previous game against Tennessee. Still, the Chargers are one of the worst teams in the league when it comes to defending the ground as they allow 145.8 yards per game to the opposing running backs. The Jaguars will be looking to control the game clock and keep the possession as much as possible because they wouldn’t want to give the ball to Justin Herbert and Los Angeles’ offense. Under is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six games overall; Under is 5-0 in Los Angeles’ previous five Wild Card games, while Under is 11-3 in the Jaguars’ last 14 home games.
Pick: Go Under 49.5 points (-130)