The NFL season is coming to an end with this Super Bowl LVII encounter in Glendale, Arizona on Sunday, February 12, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Chiefs vs. Eagles betting pick and odds.
Kansas City is looking for its third Super Bowl win, while Philadelphia is searching for its second SB victory when they meet at State Farm Stadium. The Eagles are slight -1.5 favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook, while the total is set at 50.5 points. These inter-conference rivals will meet for the first time since October 2021, when the Chiefs won 42-30 in Philly.
Chiefs edged the Bengals with the last-second kick
The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3-0, 6-12-1 ATS) reached their third Super Bowl in four years after snatching a 23-20 home victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship game. The Chiefs had secured overtime but when you leave more than half a minute to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense, you’re getting hurt. Mahomes managed to come close in the dying second to give an opportunity to kicker Harrison Butker, who made a 45-yard field goal to make it 23-20 and send his team to the Super Bowl. It was a tied game and could finish differently, but Cincy’s poor time management late in the tilt cost them in the end.
Patrick Mahomes completed 29 of 43 passes for 326 yards and two touchdowns. The run offense didn’t work for the Chiefs, but they were excellent through the air. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led all the receivers with 116 yards and a touchdown on six receptions and Travis Kelce added 78 yards and a score with a score. On defense, Kansas City registered five sacks opposite Cincinnati’s three; Chris Jones was credited with a pair of sacks, while Justin Reid led the team with seven tackles and one defended pass.
WR Mecole Hardman (pelvis), WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee), LB Willie Gay Jr. (shoulder), S L’Jarius Sneed (concussion), and WR Kadarius Toney (ankle) are questionable to feature on Sunday against Philadelphia.
Eagles cruised to the victory over the 49ers in the NFC Championship tilt
The Philadelphia Eagles (16-3-0, 10-9-0 ATS) once again dismantled their opponents in this year’s playoffs. After destroying the New York Giants 38-7 in the Divisional Round, the Eagles had no trouble against the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 in the NFC Championship game. The Eagles kept the Niners to 164 total yards and had 269 in return, while they also dominated the possession (37:26-22:34) and were better in first downs (25-11). Philadelphia forced three turnovers and committed none on the other end.
Jalen Hurts completed 15 of 25 passes for 121 yards. He added 39 rushing yards and a touchdown on 11 carries, but Miles Sanders was the one who left the mark on the ground with a pair of touchdowns (42 yards on 11 attempts). Kenneth Gainwell led the team in rushing yards with 48 on 14 carries, while DeVonta Smith led the Eagles in receiving yards with 36 on two catches. On defense, Haason Reddick had a pair of sacks and Kyzir White and Reed Blankenship led the team with six tackles apiece.
DE Robert Quinn (knee) is out indefinitely and is not going to play against the Chiefs on Sunday.
- 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 games overall
- 1-4 ATS in the last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
- 3-11-1 ATS in the last 15 games following a straight-up win
- 7-2 ATS in the last nine playoff games
- 7-2 ATS in the last nine vs. a team with a winning record
- 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick
Kansas City has the best offense in the NFL that is averaging 29.2 points per game, but Philadelphia is not far away in that segment with 28.1 ppg. The Chiefs also have the best pass offense in the league that is averaging 297.8 yards per game; however, Patrick Mahomes is banged up and some of his receivers might not play on Sunday. Mecole Hardman is doubtful, while JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney are 50-50, and if the Chiefs are weakened in the air, the Eagles will have a big opportunity to win. Not only that the Eagles have a top-10 defense that allows 20.2 ppg, but they also have the best pass defense in the league that surrenders just 179.8 yards per contest. Philadelphia showed strength in the playoffs and I think the Eagles have what it takes to edge the Chiefs here.
Pick: Take the Eagles at -1.5 (-110)
I mentioned Kansas City’s struggles with injuries among the wideouts and Philadelphia’s rock-solid pass defense, so I don’t think the Chiefs are going to be deadly through the air and score plenty of points here. Philly limited its opponents to just seven points in two playoff games, and although I don’t believe the Eagles will manage to keep the Chiefs to single numbers, I still expect a low-scoring affair. Under is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ last five games overall; Under is 4-0 in the Eagles’ previous four games overall, while Under is 16-5-1 in Philadelphia’s last 22 playoff games.
Pick: Go Under 52.5 points (-133)