Kickoff for the Chiefs and Packers matchup on Sunday, December 3rd is set for 8:20 ET. This week 13 NFL showdown will be televised on NBC. In this non-conference matchup, the Chiefs are listed as 6.5 point favorites to come out on top. Should you place your bet on them to cover the spread, or is there a better option with the Packers? Read on to find out.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Green Bay Packers +6.5
This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 8:20 ET on Sunday, December 3rd.
WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 25-22 in favor of the Chiefs.
- Our projections have Patrick Mahomes finishing with 298.762 passing yards on 24.99/39.228 passing.
- The Chiefs are projected to finish with 360 yards of offense compared to the 335 yards for the Packers.
Can Kansas City Deliver Being Favored on the Road?
With an overall record of 8-3, the Chiefs are 1st in the AFC-West. This record also has them 2nd in the AFC. On the road, Kansas City is 4-1 compared to a record of 4-2 at home. The Chiefs have a 7-4 ATS record so far. As we enter week 13, their scoring margin per game is +6.8.
The Chiefs come in with an average of 23.3 points per game which is 9th in the NFL. Kansas City’s passing attack comes in to this week’s game ranked 7th in passing yards. In addition, they are 3rd in attempts, throwing the ball an average of 37.9 times per game.
With 106.5 rushing yards per game, the Chiefs hold the 16th spot in the NFL. This average is coming on an average of 25.4 rushing attempts (20th).
The Kansas City defense has 14 takeaways this season, positioning them 9th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 16.5 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 290.0 yards.
Can Green Bay Secure a Home Victory?
The Packers currently hold the 3rd spot in the NFC-North this season, with an overall record of 5-6. In games outside their conference, they have a 1-3 record, and in NFC games, they have a NFC record. As the underdog, Green Bay has gone 5-5 this season compared to their ATS record of 1-0 as the favorite. At home, the Packers are 3-2 ATS and 3-3 vs. the spread on the road.
The Packers come in with an average 21 points per game on offense, which has them 15th in the NFL. Green Bay currently sits 19th in passing attempts and has an average of 6.5 yards per attempt (11). They are also ranked 16th in the league with 222.1 passing yards per game.
On a per-attempt basis, the Packers average 4 yards while carrying the ball an average of 24.9 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 20th in the league.
On defense, the Packers come into the game ranked 12th in tackles for loss and 13th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 20.4 points per game vs. them along with an average of 340.3 yards per contest.