The Divisional Round in the NFL playoffs will begin with this AFC tilt on Saturday, January 21, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Jaguars vs. Chiefs betting pick and odds.

Both Jacksonville and Kansas City are looking to secure their sixth consecutive win when they meet at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are 8-point favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook, while the total is set at 53 points. These conference rivals have met once this year, and the Chiefs won 27-17 in Kansas City.

Jaguars erased a big deficit to beat the Chargers

The Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8-0, 9-8-1 ATS) were in the mud for the biggest part of the opening half of their Wild Card duel against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Jaguars trailed 27-0 late in the first half but scored a touchdown to hit the halftime break with a 27-7 deficit. There was only one team playing in the second 30 minutes and it was Jacksonville, who scored 24 and allowed only three points to come from behind and get a 31-30 victory. The hosts scored 11 points in the final five minutes of the game, including Riley Patterson’s game-winning 36-yard field goal as time expired. 

Trevor Lawrence didn’t experience the best start as he threw for even four interceptions early on but bounced back and registered four touchdowns. He completed 28 of 47 passes for 288 yards. Evan Engram led the Jags with 93 yards and a TD on seven receptions. Christian Kirk added 78 yards and a score on eight catches, while Zay Jones had 74 yards and a touchdown on eight receptions. Marvin Jones Jr. also scored a receiving touchdown. On the ground, Travis Etienne Jr. posted a game-high 109 yards on 20 carries. Defensively, Foyesade Oluokun led the game with 13 tackles. 

CB Shaquill Griffin (back) and WR Calvin Ridley (suspension) are out for the season. G Brandon Scherff (abdomen) is questionable to play on Saturday against Kansas City. 

Chiefs beat the Raiders to secure a No. 1 seed in the AFC

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-3, 5-11-1 ATS) concluded the regular season with five straight wins. After defeating Seattle and Denver at home, the Chiefs beat the Las Vegas Raiders 31-13 on the road. Kansas City controlled the game since the beginning and never dropped a lead as they deservedly secured a W. The defense was excellent and forced a couple of turnovers, while the offense didn’t commit a single one on the other end. 

Patrick Mahomes completed 18 of 26 passes for 202 yards and one touchdown. Jerick McKinnon caught that lone TD pass. Justin Watson led the team in receiving yards with 67 and it was a 67-yard bomb – his only reception of the game. Isiah Pacheco had a game-high 64 yards and a touchdown on eight carries; Ronald Jones added 45 and a score on ten attempts, while Kadarius Toney also scored a rushing TD. On defense, Kansas City recorded six sacks opposite Las Vegas’ two. Chris Jones had 2.5, while Nick Bolton was a monster with game-high 16 tackles. 

RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle) is done for the year. WR Mecole Hardman (abdomen) is questionable to feature against the Jaguars on Saturday. 



• 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game

• 1-3-1 ATS in the last five games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

Kansas City:

• 6-2 ATS in the last eight playoff home games

• 4-2 ATS in the last six games played on a Saturday

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick

I know that the Chiefs are bad when it comes to covering the spread this season and that there are no easy games in the playoffs, but I believe this is the end of the road for Jacksonville. The Jaguars were able to rise from the ashes and beat the Chargers, but I think they are emotionally drained and the Chiefs are going to defeat them without trouble. 

The Chiefs had an extra week to rest and prepare for this tilt, which is another reason I am backing them. Kansas City has the best offense in the NFL that scores 29.2 points per game and the best pass offense that averages 297.8 yards per contest. The Jaguars’ defense is not ready for that. 

Pick: Take the Chiefs at -7.5 (-110)

The Total

The Chiefs do have the best offense but their defense is not very strong. They are allowing 21.7 points per game, so Lawrence and the Jags will certainly have an opportunity to hurt the Chiefs on Saturday. Jacksonville’s defense will be under a lot of pressure on the other end as I expect the Chiefs to control the clock and keep their offense on the field as much as possible. Over is 8-3 in the Jaguars’ last 11 road games, while Over is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ previous five games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game.

Pick: Go Over 51.5 points (-130)