Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Dolphins and Knights. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Knights at Freedom Hall in Louisville, KY. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Atlantic Sun conference contest is set at 137 points, with Bellarmine being favored by -2 at home against Jacksonville.


The Pick: Jacksonville Dolphins +2

This game will be played at Freedom Hall at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 82-64 in favor of the Dolphins.
  • Not only will Jacksonville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will Jacksonville Make it Happen on the Road?

As the Jacksonville Dolphins get set to take on the Bellarmine Knights, they will be looking to snap their two-game losing streak. So far this season, the Dolphins have gone 10-10, including a 1-5 mark in Atlantic Sun Conference play.

On the road, Jacksonville has struggled mightily, going just 2-9 with an average scoring margin of -18.1 points per game. Their record as the underdog is 1-9, compared to 6-1 when they are favored. Most recently, the Dolphins fell to Eastern Kentucky by a score of 75-59.

As the underdog, Jacksonville has struggled against the spread this season with a mark of 2-8. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Dolphins are just 2-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 2-9 this year and 0-5 in their last five road games.

This season, the over/under record in Jacksonville games is 13-4 and today’s line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.3). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the scoring average in those games is 150 points.

Jacksonville offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 59 points against Eastern Kentucky. In that game, they made 4/15 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 40%. Robert McCray led the team in scoring, putting up 21 points. Additionally, Stephen Payne III contributed 14 points for the Dolphins.

At present, the Dolphins’ defense is nationally ranked 226th, allowing 75.0 points per game. Jacksonville’s three-point defense is currently 152nd in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.5% of their shots vs. Jacksonville.

Do the Knights Have What it Takes at Home?

Despite their struggles this season, Bellarmine is favored by two points for their matchup with Jacksonville. The Knights have lost 14 straight games and are 0-5 at home this season.

With their loss to North Florida, Bellarmine’s record dropped to 4-17 on the season. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 4-6.

As the favorite this season, Bellarmine has yet to cover the spread in any of their four games. Their overall ATS record is just 4-13-1. At home, the Knights are 0-5 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Bellarmine has gone just 2-8 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Bellarmine games is 9-9 and today’s line of 137 is slightly lower than the average over/under line in their games of 140.4. So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 133 points compared to their season average of 139.8 points per game.

The Bellarmine offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 63 points versus North Florida. During the game, they attempted 18 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 41.1%. The team’s scoring leader is Peter Suder, who holds an average of 11 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Garrett Tipton is averaging 10.3 points per game this season.

Currently, the Knights’ defense holds the 195th rank in the nation, allowing 73.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. North Florida, the Ospreys finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 71 points vs. Bellarmine.