Game 4 of the World Series will take place in Philadelphia on Wednesday, November 2, and here you can take a look at the best Astros vs. Phillies betting pick and odds.

Houston and Philadelphia will play the fourth of a seven-game World Series at Citizens Bank Park. There are no favorites in this game, while the total is set at 7.5 runs on MyBookie Sportsbook. Houston won two of three regular-season games this year, but Philadelphia leads this series 2-1.

Astros fired blanks in a loss to Philly

The Houston Astros did bounce back in Game 2 after losing the opening game of the World Series to the Philadelphia Phillies, but now are 2-1 down after losing Game 3. Houston displayed the worst performance of the postseason and failed to score a single run in a 7-0 road defeat. The Astros had five hits opposite Philadelphia’s seven.

Also, the Astros didn’t have a single individual with a multi-hit game. Lance McCullers Jr. struggled in his start as he surrendered seven runs on six hits with five strikeouts and a walk during 4.1 innings. Jose Urquidy, who came in to close the remaining three innings, pitched well and allowed no runs on one hit with four strikeouts and a walk.

Cristian Javier (11-9, 1-0 in the playoffs) is getting a start in Game 4 of the World Series against Philadelphia on Wednesday. The 25-year-old right-hander started 25 games this year and has a 2.54 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 194/52 K/BB ratio over 148.2 innings.

Phillies dismantled McCullers Jr. with long shots

The Philadelphia Phillies destroyed Houston’s starter Lance McCullers Jr. and scored seven runs in the first five innings of Game 3 to record a 7-0 victory and got to a 2-1 lead in the World Series. Interestingly, all the runs came by home runs. Three were solo homers, while two were two-run homers.

Bryce Harper opened the scoring with a two-run dinger in the first inning. Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh added a solo homer apiece in the second; Kyle Schwarber blasted a two-run homer in the 5th, while Rhys Hoskins set the final score with a solo shot. Ranger Suarez fired five scoreless innings in a winning display, allowing only three hits with four strikeouts and a walk.

Aaron Nola (11-13, 2-1 in the playoffs) is slated to start Game 4 of the World Series against Houston on Wednesday. The 29-year-old right-hander had 32 starts this season and owns a 3.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 235/29 K/BB ratio across 205.0 innings of work.

Trends:

Houston:

  • 7-1 in the last eight games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 6-1 in the last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15
  • 8-2 in the last ten playoff games

Philadelphia:

  • 3-8 in the last 11 interleague games
  • 2-5 in the last seven vs. American League West rivals

Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

I fully expect the Astros to respond to a devastating 7-0 defeat and win Game 4 or else they will be facing elimination. With both Game 4 and Game 5 scheduled to be played in Philly, Houston simply must win at least one before the series moves back to Texas. I am backing them to take this one because Nola is struggling of late. He allowed 11 runs in his last two starts, five of which were against the Astros in Game 1. He was lucky enough to get away with a no-decision as his team won in the extra-inning, but I don’t think Nola will be that lucky on Wednesday. Cristian Javier impressed in his lone playoff start against the Yankees as he pitched for 5.1 scoreless innings in a win.

Pick: Take the Astros to win (-110)

The Total

After scoring zero runs in Game 3, I will be disappointed if the Astros don’t score at least four in this game. It will be hard to stop Philadelphia’s in-form batters, so I also expect the hosts to play their part in a potential high-scoring tilt. The Astros already faced Nola in this series and they know how to hurt him. Over is 4-1 in the last five H2H meetings in Philadelphia; Over is 6-0 in the Phillies’ previous six when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game, while Over is 4-0-1 in Philadelphia’s last five games following a win.

Pick: Go Over 7.5 runs (-110)