The NCAAF season continues with Week 10 games on Saturday, November 5, and we have a conference tilt in Virginia, so feel free to take a look at the best Tar Heels vs. Cavaliers betting pick and odds.

North Carolina is looking for the fifth win in a row when they visit Virginia at Scott Stadium. The Tar Heels are -7.5 favorites on MyBookie Sportsbook, while the total is set at 59.5 points. These ACC foes have met once in 2021, and the Tar Heels won 59-39 at home.

Tar Heels breezed past Pittsburgh

The North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1-0, 5-3-0 ATS) responded to the first defeat of the season against Notre Dame and won the next four games. The latest one came against the Pittsburgh Panthers at home, and the Tar Heels covered a 3-point spread with ease by winning 42-24. North Carolina was better in first downs (26-14), while the visitors couldn’t stop Drake Maye, who dismantled their secondary

Drake Maye completed 34 of 44 passes for career-high 388 yards and five touchdowns. He also led the team in rushing yards with 61 on 14 carries, while Elijah Green scored a rushing TD. Antoine Green was impressive through the air with career-high 180 yards and two touchdowns on ten catches, while Josh Downs had 102 yards and a pair of scores on 11 receptions. When it comes to defense, Cedric Gray posted a game-high nine tackles.

RB Caleb Hood departed the last game with an injury, and he is not expected to be active on Saturday versus Virginia.

Virginia returned to losing ways

The Virginia Cavaliers (3-5-0, 3-5-0 ATS) snapped a three-game losing skid with a road win over Georgia Tech but returned to losing ways with a 14-12 home defeat to the Miami Hurricanes. It was a peculiar game with four overtimes after the regulation ended 6-3. The teams exchanged field goals in the first and second OT before Jake Garcia scored a two-point rush in the fourth OT to seal a victory for the Canes.

Brennan Armstrong completed 15 of 25 passes for 208 yards. Mike Hollins led the Cavaliers with 64 receiving yards on one reception, while Lavel Davis Jr. also had one catch for 47 yards. On the ground, QB Armstrong registered 67 yards on 20 rushing attempts. Nick Jackson and Coen King were excellent on defense with 27 combined tackles.

RB Perris Jones (ankle) is doubtful to play on Saturday against North Carolina. Brennan Armstrong left the last game with a lower-leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play.


North Carolina:

  • 5-2 ATS in the last seven games overall
  • 4-1 ATS in the last five conference games


  • 1-5 ATS in the last six home games
  • 1-4 ATS in the last five games following a straight-up loss

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers Pick  

Virginia has one of the weakest offenses in college football that averages 16.5 points per game, and even though North Carolina allows 31.4 ppg, I don’t think the Cavs are good enough to get something out of this game. The Tar Heels have a frightening offense that scores 41.8 ppg and one of the best young quarterbacks in the country, who already threw for 29 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Drake Maye is actually a two-way threat as he is the team’s leading rusher, so the hosts will have a lot of work to do in order to limit him. North Carolina won all away games this year and I am backing them to get another one on Saturday.

Pick: Take the Tar Heels at -6.5 (-135)

The Total

Virginia scored more than 20 points just once this season and it was in Week 1 against Richmond. In the previous four games, the Cavaliers failed to score more than 17, and I don’t think they will have more than that against North Carolina. The Tar Heels have the ability to unlock any defense as they scored 27+ points in each game this year, but I am backing a low-scoring affair because of Virginia’s offensive woes. Under is 15-5-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 21 games overall, while Under is 5-1 in Virginia’s previous six home games.

Pick: Go Under 60.5 points (-120)