The 2022 NBA Playoffs conference semifinals wrap up Sunday, May 15, when Dallas faces off against Phoenix at Footprint Center, so we bring you the best Mavericks vs. Suns betting pick along with the latest odds update on Bookmaker Sportsbook.
The series is tied at 3-3, as both teams have emerged victorious on the home court. The Suns are 6-point home favorites for Game 7, while the Mavericks are listed as +215 moneyline underdogs with a total of 206.5 points.
The Mavs routed Phoenix in Game 6
Playing with their back against the wall, the Dallas Mavericks upset the Phoenix Suns in Game 6. The Mavs trounced the Suns 113-86 as 2-point home underdogs to force Game 7 in Phoenix, and Luka Doncic led the way for Dallas once more, finishing with 33 points, 11 rebounds, eight assists, and four steals.
The Mavericks turned the ball over only seven times this past Thursday. They shot 45.5% from the field and 41.0% from downtown (16-for-39), dominating the Suns from start to finish. Reggie Bullock went 5-for-11 from beyond the arc and scored 19 points; Jalen Brunson had 18 points and three steals, while Spencer Dinwiddie added 15 points off the bench.
The Mavs are making 44.4% of their field goals and 38.5% of their 3-pointers throughout this series. Luka Doncic is tallying 32.2 points, 9.8 boards, and 7.5 assists a night, while Jalen Brunson is posting 17.8 points and 3.0 dimes per game.
The Suns put on another awful performance on the road
The Phoenix Suns have been a complete disaster over their three visits to American Airlines Center in Dallas. In two of those three games, the reigning Western Conference champs have failed to hit a 95-point mark. Last Thursday, they scored 14 points in the fourth quarter to finish with 86 on the night.
Phoenix committed a whopping 22 turnovers in Game 6. The Suns shot only 39.7% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the 3-point line (6-for-18) while handing out just 18 assists. Devin Booker and Chris Paul combined for 32 points and 13 turnovers, which tells you enough about their performance.
Deandre Ayton led the charge for the Suns with 21 points and 11 rebounds, making ten of his 16 field-goal attempts. The Suns have made 49.2% of their field goals and 41.0% of their 3-pointers over the previous six contests.
• 5-10 ATS in the last 15 games against Phoenix
• 5-1 ATS in the last six games at home
Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Pick
I would just follow the betting trends and take the hosts to win and cover. Both Dallas and Phoenix have been awful when playing on the road, and I can only hope Game 7 will see more of the same. It’s impossible to explain their disastrous performance away from home. The Suns won Game 5 by 30 points. Two days later, they lost at Dallas by 27.
The Suns have covered in five of their previous six showings at Footprint Center. They are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS in the last 15 games against the Mavericks.
Pick: Take Phoenix Suns -6.0 at -110
The Total:
The first two games of the series have gone over the total, while the under is 4-0 in the previous four. The Mavericks are trying their best to slow down the pace as much as possible, so I’m backing the under in Game 7.
Dallas was playing at the slowest pace in the NBA last regular season. Luka Doncic controls the flow of the Mavs’ offense, and I’m expecting to see another down-tempo contest Sunday. Also, both teams will continue to play aggressive defense, looking to force each other into a lot of tough shots.
Pick: Go under 206.5 points at -110