The Rockies and Diamondbacks are set to kick off their NL West matchup at 10:10 PM ET at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. Kyle Freeland will take the mound for the Rockies, while Zac Gallen will get the start for the Diamondbacks.

Oddsmakers have the Diamondbacks as the favorite, with a money line payout of -246 compared to the Rockies at +201. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with both sides of the line currently sitting at -110.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Chase Field at 10:10 ET on Thursday, March 28th.

HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

  • We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Rockies Records & Stats

Despite being heavy underdogs, the Rockies were able to pull off the upset in just 5 of their 59 wins last season. On the road, Colorado was just 22-59 compared to their 37-44 mark at home. In the National League, the Rockies finished in 15th place and 5th in the NL West.

When playing as the underdog, Colorado went 54-93 last season. In night games, the Rockies were 36-64 compared to their 23-39 record in day games. In the NL West, Colorado’s division record was just 14-38.

As the underdog in 90.7% of their games last season, the Rockies finished with a run line record of 77-70 on the road, which was identical to their home mark. Their average run differential of -1.6 runs per game away from home was slightly worse than their overall average run differential of -1.5 runs per game. In games they won, Colorado’s average scoring margin was +3.2 runs per game compared to -4.1 runs per game in losses.

When looking at the Rockies’ over/under record from last season, they finished with a mark of 74-87. Their average over/under line was 10.2 runs per game, and in games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record was 13-16. Last season, 71.6% of their games had higher O/U lines than 8.5 runs, and their games averaged a combined 10.4 runs per game.

Kyle Freeland is coming off a season in which he went 6-14 with a 5.03 ERA. In 29 starts, he made 12 quality starts and allowed a total of 29 home runs. Last season, he faced the Diamondbacks three times, going 1-2 with an ERA of 5.15. For the season, Freeland averaged 5.43 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.43 walks per nine. His WHIP for the season was 1.47, and opponents hit .293 off him. His FIP for the season was 5.30.

Despite finishing 17th in the league in runs per game (4.5), the Rockies were one of the best home teams in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game (4th). On the road, they struggled mightily, averaging just 3.7 runs per game (28th). Overall, the team’s batting average of .249 was 11th in the league, but their strikeout rate was 28th. At home, they hit .265 (5th), compared to just .223 on the road (28th).

The Rockies are hoping that Ryan McMahon can build off of his 23 home run season from a year ago. McMahon is coming off of a season in which he batted .240 and had a slugging percentage of .431. Nolan Jones is the second leading returning home run hitter for Colorado, as he hit 20 home runs and drove in 62 runs last season. Ezequiel Tovar is the top returning hitter for the Rockies, as he batted .253 and drove in 73 runs. Jake Cave is the top off-season addition for Colorado, as he hit .212 and hit five home runs for the Phillies last season.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

The Diamondbacks are coming off a season in which they made it to the World Series but fell short against the Rangers. Last year’s team finished with an overall record of 84-78, which was good for 6th place in the National League and 2nd place in the NL West.

When playing at home, Arizona went 43-38 last season, compared to 41-40 on the road. In night games, the Diamondbacks were 52-47, while they were 32-31 in day games. As the favorite, Arizona went 43-31, and as the underdog, they were 41-47.

Last season, the Diamondbacks had an average run differential of -.1 runs per game, leading to an overall run line record of 88-74. In games that they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +2.8 runs per game, compared to -3.6 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. For the season, they were favored in 45.7% of their games, going 37-37 vs. the run line as the favorite. At home, they were favored in 51.9% of their games, going 21-21 vs. the run line.

Last season, the Diamondbacks had an over/under record of 71-83, and their games averaged a combined 9.3 runs per contest. Their average over/under line was 8.9 runs, and in games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record was 17-21. Overall, 51.9% of their games finished with more runs than 8.5 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made 34 starts, Zac Gallen went 17-9 with an ERA of 3.47. Gallen’s WHIP for the season was 1.12, and he allowed opponents to hit .234. His FIP for the season was 3.26, and he finished the year with one complete game and one shutout. Gallen’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 4.7, and he averaged 1.4 walks per game.

Arizona’s offense was solid last season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which was 14th in the league. On the road, they were 13th in the league at 4.6 runs per game, while at home, they averaged 4.5 runs per game. Their batting average of .250 was 10th in the league, and they were 20th in home runs with 166. In terms of strikeouts, they were the 4th hardest team to strikeout against.

Christian Walker returns as the team’s top home run hitter after hitting 33 home runs and driving in 103 runs last season. Corbin Carroll hit 25 home runs and batted .285 last season. Eugenio Suárez is the team’s top off-season addition after hitting 22 home runs and batting .232 last season.