Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 09/25/19

Nolan Arenado and the Colorado Rockies will be taking on their divisional rival San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. The game will begin at 9:45 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on ATRM and NSBA.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

The Rockies have gone 68-89 SU this year and are 69-87 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 26.6 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 75-82 SU and 78-78 ATS. The team has gained 9.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 18.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Giants games have an over/under record of 75-72-9 in 2019. The Rockies have an over/under record of 75-72-9.

Tim Melville will get the start for Colorado. The right-handed Melville is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Giants are putting the ball in the right hand of Jeff Samardzija (11-12, 3.64 ERA, 1.11 WHIP), who has 135 strikeouts and 48 walks. Samardzija is 2-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA across three starts against Colorado this year.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 71 games against NL West opponents, Giants starters have an ERA of 4.34 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.90.

The San Francisco offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .185/.245/.265 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is slashing .262/.290/.441 with 21 home runs, 84 RBIs, 80 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Belt’s line is .236/.338/.407 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.97 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.52 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.16, along with a K-per-9 of 8.37.

The Rockies offense has slashed .266/.329/.457 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is hitting .317/.380/.590 with 41 home runs, 118 RBIs and 100 runs scored, while Blackmon is slashing .316/.366/.580 with 31 homers, 85 RBIs and 111 runs scored.

The Rockies have lost 5.5 units and are 40-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 10.5 units and are 58-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 49 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER