At 4:05 ET, the Browns and Broncos clash at Empower Field at Mile High for a week 12 NFL matchup. Catch the action on FOX, with the game set for Sunday, November 26th. This showdown between AFC conference opponents has the Broncos as 2.5 point home favorites. Will they be able to clinch a win at home and cover the spread?

CLEVELAND BROWNS VS DENVER BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Browns +2.5

This game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 26th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND BROWNS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 19-18 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Our projections have Dorian Thompson-Robinson finishing with 208.001 passing yards on 18.72/32.54 passing.
  • The Broncos are projected to finish with 303 yards of offense compared to the 294 yards for the Browns.

Will the Browns Come Through as Road Underdogs?

The Browns enter their matchup against the Broncos with a 7-3 record. This mark puts them 2nd in AFC-North. In the AFC overall standings, they are 5th. The Browns have put together a record of 6-3-1 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +4.7.

At 22.7 points per contest, the Cleveland offense is 12th in the league. Coming into this week’s game Cleveland’s passing game is ranked 26th in passing yards. Additionally, they are positioned 13th in pass attempts, with an average of 34.9 passes per game.

In terms of rushing, the Browns are averaging 34.3 rushing attempts per game, placing them 3rd for rushing yards. They have an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt.

The Browns are 1st in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 243.3 yards per contest. Cleveland’s defense comes in with an average of 18 points per game allowed, which is 6th in the NFL.

Can the Broncos Hold Strong at Home?

This week will be the Broncos’ 7th home game of the season and they are looking to move above .500 as they are 3-3 on the road. Denver’s overall record of 5-5 has them 2nd in the AFC-West and 10th in the AFC. The Broncos’ current scoring margin stands at -5.1, which has them coming in with a 3-6-1 ATS record.

On the offensive front, the Broncos are currently averaging 21.7 points per game, positioning them 14th in the NFL. Denver currently sits 28th in passing attempts and has an average of 6.4 yards per attempt (13). They are also ranked 24th in the league with 191 passing yards per game.

On the ground, the Broncos have ran the ball an average of 24.7 times per game and are 14th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 4.5 yards per rushing attempt.

Defensively, the Broncos come into the game allowing an average of 240.1 passing yards per game and 160.0 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Denver ranks 19th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 26.8 points on 400.1 yards.