Planning on watching today’s Bulldogs and Spartans game? Catch the action at Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, NC, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 132.5 points, and the Spartans are the home favorites against the Bulldogs in a Southern conference matchup.
CITADEL BULLDOGS VS UNCG SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Citadel Bulldogs +11
This game will be played at Greensboro Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 17th.
WHY BET THE CITADEL BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Spartans.
- Even though we have UNCG winning straight-up, we like Citadel at +11.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Does Citadel Have a Shot at a Road Win?
After losing their last four games, Citadel will look to get back on track when they take on UNCG. So far, the Bulldogs have gone 8-9 this season, including a 0-4 record in Southern Conference play. On the road, they have gone just 2-5, compared to 3-4 at home.
For the season, Citadel has been the underdog in 10 of their 17 games, going just 1-9 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -2.7 points per game, and they are coming off a 72-71 loss to Wofford.
Against the spread, Citadel has a record of 6-7-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-4 and their last 10 road ATS record is 3-7. As the underdog, the Bulldogs’ ATS record is 3-6-1 this year and their last 10 underdog ATS mark is 3-6-1.
On the season, the over/under record for Citadel games is 4-9-1 with an average of 137.6 points per game. Today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (140). Over their last three games, the OU record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 145 points.
In their most recent game, the Bulldogs’ offense tallied 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.2 points per game. Elijah Morgan is leading the team in scoring at 14.7 points per contest. AJ Smith has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.1 going into the game.
The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 90th nationally, allowing an average of 68.5 points per contest. The Citadel defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 72 points and allowed Wofford to connect on 7 threes.
Does UNCG Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
UNCG has been dominant at home this season, going 6-0 with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game. They have won nine of their 12 games as the favorite, including a 70-54 victory over Chattanooga in their most recent contest.
So far, the Spartans have gone 12-5 overall, including a 3-1 mark in Southern Conference play. They have been even better at home, going 9-1 over their last 10 games.
As the favorite this season, UNCG has gone 4-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are 4-6 vs. the spread. At home this year, UNCG has an ATS mark of 2-4.
In their 17 games this season, the over/under record for UNCG is 8-7. So far, their games have averaged 142.7 points compared to an average over/under line of 143.6, resulting in an average margin versus the over/under line of -0.9. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games so far. Their last three games have averaged 132 points.
Against Chattanooga, the UNCG had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 77.1 points per game. They scored 70 points and posted a field goal percentage of 49.1% in the game. The top scorer for the Spartans was Keyshaun Langley with 17 points, while Kobe Langley also added 15 to the scoreboard.
At this time, the Spartans’ defense is positioned 91st in the country, permitting 68.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UNCG’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.7% this season.